The weak but well-funded arguments for techno-optimism in the face of climate chaos have kept on coming. The latest were a series of articles in mainstream press about a book that claims renewable energy will sustain societies while stabilising the global climate. Brazilian researcher Claudia Gasparovic, offered a rapid debunking of the book’s arguments, in a post on LinkedIn. Similar arguments were put to the book’s author by journalist Rachel Donald for Mongabay. The weakness of techno-optimism on climate change was something I explored in my book Breaking Together. If you read Chapter 3, you will know that the idea modern societies can maintain current consumption patterns by switching to entirely renewable energy is one founded upon blindness to material dimensions of energy generation and storage. If you read Chapter 4, you will know that energy and carbon dioxide are two issues within a far broader problem of the ecological overshoot by modern societies. If you read Chapter 5, you will know that the momentum of change in our oceans and atmosphere, coupled with the dramatic loss of cooling aerosols and cloud-seeding forest cover, means we are already within a scary situation with climate.
I know that when I’m anxious I’m not the wisest or kindest version of myself. Because that is the same for most of us, collapse-anticipators fear how people might make difficult situations a lot worse by delusional or aggressive responses. There are multiple ways of trying to help ourselves think and act more kindly and wisely in future. One way of psychologically preparing ourselves that has stood out for me recently is an examination of our deep stories – about who we are and our role in life. Once we notice such stories, we can choose whether we want to continue living by them or not. One way of discovering such stories is to re-examine our childhoods. I decided to share with you my recent process on that, and what I discovered. That’s partly as an encouragement for you to do the same, and partly for my own benefit of healing through normalising something by sharing it. If such reflection is not new to you, then perhaps this essay will encourage you to try again, as new things can be found depending on our current mind-states and exposure to different philosophies.
I recently hosted documentary film makers at a meditation retreat in a Buddhist temple, here in Bali. They are exploring what can happen when people perceive it’s too late to avert the collapse of modern societies. So they were asking questions about how I became the person I am. It’s the kind of reflection on formative experiences that I ask the participants in my leadership courses to do. But personally, I’d not reflected for a while. As Buddhism includes an understanding of the role of suffering in life, being at the temple meant that I reflected on that. So I dived into my past suffering and how it might have shaped me.
We have launched our request for financial support for Bekandze Farm School, in Indonesia, to help small holders switch to organic and resilient farming methods.
If you have read my book Breaking Together, or simply seen the recent science and news on the environment, then you know we have entered an era of increasing disruption. Like many people, I want to respond in ways that reduce harm and create possibility. That is the aim of this new farm school in Indonesia. Already, we are helping more local farmers switch to organic and resilient forms of agriculture, as a basis for re-localising and regenerating the rural economy. But to establish ourselves as a viable training centre, with a lasting impact locally, and to communicate that globally, we need your help.
There was an interesting interview with Gavin Schmidt recently. He is one of the most senior climatologists in the world, heading up NASA’s department on climate science. Refreshingly, unlike the other senior climatologists, he didn’t sidestep how recent weather was not predicted by mainstream climatology. He told the American science celebrity Neil deGrasse Tyson that climatology significantly underpredicted current warming. He said there was “total failure” to predict what happened in 2023. See for yourself, for 3 minutes from 4 minutes in.
Gavin is one of the more approachable of the senior climatologists. He provided specific written criticisms of my 2018 Deep Adaptation paper. That was in stark contrast to others who misrepresented it, and me, so as to discourage people from considering that the party is over for modern societies.
As I type these words on January 25th 2024, we are breaking another all-time temperature record here in Bali. It is 32C degrees in the Ubud area, above the previous record of 31C for this day in history. The average maximum was once below 30C (see the image above). So when does such unusual weather indicate a new climate regime, rather than just a few unusually hot days? That should be a matter of scientific analysis, not ideological posturing. If we are analytical, the answer depends on the data on long-term trends and the possible reasons for such trends. As I have recently become an organic farmer, this information is even more important to ascertain, because it influences what and when to plant, as well as how much protection from water and temperature stress we should invest in. So I am going to share with you what I found out about Bali’s weather, and what this means for those of us who live in this region. I also think it has implications for people everywhere, so wherever you are, please read on…
The ‘information ecology’ of people living in the English-speaking world is collapsing as fast as, if not faster than, natural ecosystems. On the one hand, mainstream corporate and state media now regularly mislead us about our health, economy, environment and society, whenever that protects the established order. Even ‘progressive’ media institutions muddy the waters about ongoing imperialist exploitation and violence. On the other hand, most non-traditional media in the form of celebrity pundits and independent journalists, don’t have the capacity to do more than react critically to news from the mainstream, and often spin simplistic or sensational narratives to gain attention. For people who have the time to find independent expert voices on various topics, such as war, economy and public health, then there is much available. But most people don’t have the time for that. Therefore, I have noticed a rise in the number of people who have distorted views of what is happening in the world, even if they work on matters of common concern. Combined with the widespread use of moral psychology in modern media, whereby differing opinions are made out to be disgusting or dangerous, this can lead to some awkward interactions in-person and online. That is why I am so relieved that Brave New Europe regularly produce well-informed left-of-centre analysis of European and global affairs. You can read my past essays with them, mainly on climate issues, here. But what caught my eye last week was their summary of geopolitical shifts during 2023, written by Mathew D Rose. It provided a synthesis rarely, if ever, found in Western media, whether mainstream or not. Mathew focuses on the major shift in global power that is underway – something largely hidden from the citizens of the West. I recommend you take time to read it below, and then browse other articles from them.
A new video is out, where concerns about climate change being a hoax designed to control the public were addressed by a panel of environmentalists. The event occurred in the English town of Glastonbury, which hosted a number of discussions on this topic in 2023. One trigger for this focus was probably a speech at a council meeting by the campaigner Sandy Adams back in March. She argued against the “15 minute city” agenda, with claims that ‘climate change’ is a hoax to excuse draconian controls on our lives. The freedom she was talking about was the driving of cars, rather than walking, cycling or bussing around. As people can cycle across Glastonbury in less than 15 minutes, and the local government had no proposals on ‘15 minute cities,’ the councillors of this small town were somewhat perplexed by Ms Adams. Nevertheless, the video of her speech went viral, with the claim that resistance works! It appears that targeting non-existent proposals is the ‘secret sauce’ for this kind of instantly gratifying campaigning.
Many local residents of Glastonbury had other ideas. A group of them decided to host a conference on the more troubling news about climate change – what to do if we can’t stop it disrupting our communities through direct and indirect impacts. During a hot afternoon in June, a panel took questions from the audience. Reflecting the arguments promoted by Sandy Adams’ viral video, the first question was about whether the mainstream narrative on climate is incorrect – and being used to control us. The Green Party Mayor of Glastonbury, a co-founder of Extinction Rebellion, two podcast hosts and myself, a Professor in the field of sustainability, offered our reflections on this issue. You can see the discussion, alongside a range of other topics, in a video of the Q&A, below.
The residents invited discussion of a wide range of topics, arising from a workshop that used the updated Deep Adaptation framework. That includes a 5th R on the ‘reclamation’ of our power in the face of societal disruption and collapse. Rachel Donald (Planet Critical) spoke of reclaiming the power of contribution by leaving behind security to build a community. Amisha Ghadiali (All That We Are) spoke of reclaiming beauty as divine, not trapped in a sanitised aesthetic. Gail Bradbrook (Extinction Rebellion) spoke of reclaiming pride in one’s own psychological patterns and capabilities. Indra Donfrancesco (Mayor of Glastonbury) spoke of reclaiming her town for positive environmental actions rather than just protests. I spoke of my personal reclaiming of my ‘OK-ness’ with aiming small, despite my cultural conditioning to strive to succeed at scale.
Discussions ranged from caring for loved ones to whether localisation needs a complementary effort at international political influence. It demonstrated what a wide, compassionate and creative agenda can emerge from accepting the gravity of our ecological crisis. However, I also welcomed a couple of questions about whether the UN, IPCC and others might be hoaxing us on climate. That’s because I am part of a growing movement of freedom-loving environmentalists, who object to the corporate capture of the climate agenda. As one questioner alluded to, during the early years of the pandemic, we were poorly served by an old guard of green leaders and commentators, who kowtowed to the big corporate agendas that were masquerading as sensible policies on public health. Unfortunately, that lack of green leadership means the ‘medical freedom movement’ has become an easy target for infiltration by the oil lobby, who are sowing doubt about our changing climate. As I argue in Breaking Together, just because some globalists have bad ideas about responding to a climate crisis which they helped to create, doesn’t mean there isn’t a major problem for us to address with urgency.
Whether we are interested in freedom or the environment, or both, we can help each other escape the false narratives coming from corporate influence on those issues. The false narratives can be appealing, as they distract from the painful reality of a global and uncontrollable ecological disaster. However, time will demonstrate both the extent of the ecological predicament, and the futility of those responses favoured by corporate elites. I believe the sooner people move beyond distractions to explore how they wish to live in this era of societal disruption and collapse, the better it will be for themselves, others and wider nature.
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Was Jesus Christ a Buddhist monk? That is the subject of a few books and films which focus on the many years between childhood and the time of his preaching that are recorded in the Bible. The BBC documentary featured evidence from a Buddhist Temple that mentioned a famous teacher from afar, with the local name for Jesus. Learning from different wisdom traditions makes a lot of sense. So perhaps ‘the son of God’ might have explored that as well. I mention this speculative history because both Christianity and Buddhism have been important to my own experience and understanding of the world. In more recent times, I have focused more on learning from Buddhist insight, partly because it has been new to me. This is reflected in the name of our farm school, which is the Sanskrit word for healing through transcending separations: Bekandze Farm. The word features prominently in the Medicine Buddha Mantra, which is one of the oldest and most popular. This was the background to why I was delighted to appear in the podcast series “Buddha at the Gas Pump”. I wrote some reflections about that discussion with Rick Archer, and posted them as an article on LinkedIn. In the pod we discussed the question of whether or not we need, or benefit, from a vision of a better future, in the material realm, including humans or wider life on Earth. Below I cross-post the article. For it I used the JemBot to summarise a few of the ideas in my book Breaking Together. If you want to go deeper into any of these ideas, then studying with me is possible, twice online and twice in person, during 2024.
What are you going to talk about over the coming holiday period? There is a lot of sad stuff going on in the world, which seems impossible to either influence or ignore. There is the temptation to utter platitudes about peace on Earth, or hoping it will be better next year. But you are reading these words. So we both know you are made of sterner stuff than that. How about trying a different tack entirely? Something like: “It appears to me that all this terrible news is part of a pattern. Modern societies are crumbing and the elites are causing more damage as they try to hold on to their power. These are aspects of societal collapse, and we need to start accepting it, so we can discuss what to do about it. It looks like we need to change our hopes and plans for the future.” Yes, the time has come for you to be a ‘party pooper’ …but at least one with purpose.
For a few years I didn’t want to poop any parties. I felt apprehensive about promoting my views on collapse, as I knew how emotionally unsettling it can be to realise the tragic and dangerous situation we are all facing. Instead, I thought people who were already aware of the situation would benefit by hearing from people who were responding to their collapse anticipation, or acceptance, in positive ways – and so I hosted 30+ guests in the Deep Adaptation Q&As. Over the years, my reticence to speak out has changed. That is because, although societal collapse is still taboo in mainstream media and politics, a huge proportion of the general public already experience how normal life is unravelling and that the ecological situation is unavoidably frightening. I want to help more people make sense of this situation and consider their options. As the initiative ‘Just Collapse’ often repeats, it is time to talk about societal collapse. That is why this year I released the book Breaking Together and began to #TalkCollapse in a variety of podcasts and some interviews in mainstream media. In this post, I’ll sum up some of that audio and video from the past year. It will give you a number of options of what to share with people you talk about collapse with in the coming weeks, months, and beyond.
On the one hand, it feels like yesterday. On the other hand, like a parallel universe. I could be talking about many things, but this time, I am reflecting on the formation of the Deep Adaptation Forum. It’s almost 5 years since I created a Facebook group for people who wanted to discuss their own ‘deep adaptation’ to societal collapse. Soon after that we launched a website (using Ning), for people to connect with each other more deeply than one can do on Facebook. Those were two of the first steps in the creation of the Deep Adaptation Forum (DAF), as a network that facilitates dialogue and collaboration on reducing harm in the face of societal collapse. I left the organising team over three years ago but have watched it evolve through the enthusiasm of volunteers from around the world. Recently, I was asked to offer some short recollections and suggestions. That request came from the current team who are stewarding DAF into a new phase of service of the people around the globe who want to be their best selves as societies become more disrupted due to environmental change and related impacts. What follows below are the thoughts I shared with them…
“My initial motivation for founding the Deep Adaptation Forum (DAF) was to connect together the people who were reaching out to me after reading the Deep Adaptation (DA) paper, released in 2018. The diversity of people and questioning was huge, and reflected how the collapse of societies affects everything imaginable. I resisted requests from some potential funders for it to become a think tank or lobby group, and instead advanced ways of gathering for open-hearted, open-minded and meaningful dialogue. Emotional support was a key part of that, but not the only intention. Fortunately, some individuals with a little bit of cash agreed, so that I could begin to consider hiring some freelancers to collaborate on the project.
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