Decelerating Our Obedience

shadow of person beside green arrow sign and football player icon on concrete floor

Now, just a few years after the launch of ChatGPT, a mix of user fascination, funny videos, mathematical breakthroughs, exploding valuations, environmental costs, safety risks, and strange billionaire utterances, has got us all talking about the pros and cons of “Artificial Intelligence”, and who should be in charge. That is taking an age-old discussion about the eco-social implications of technology beyond the confines of experts, environmentalists, and regulators, and into the mainstream. Not since the advent of the nuclear age has the general public been so engaged in the matter of the dissemination and governance of technology. Initial responses to my essay on “decelerationism” clarified for me the importance of becoming aware of the ideological power of systems of extraction and control in limiting our imagination. So, in this post, I’m sharing reflections on decelerating our obedience to the ideological view that “progress” is inevitable, positive, and that new technology is the centrepiece of that process. Free of such ‘technoprogressivist’ ideology, we can consider what old technologies we still love and want more people to access, how new technologies should be developed, adopted, and governed, as well as the appropriate pace of change, so that we can manage potentially disruptive consequences.

One reader produced a bullet point summary of my essay. I am sharing it here, as a useful primer, especially if you are joining our Metacrisis Salon on Monday (scroll to the end to register):

The Problem with Speeding Up Collapse

  • Some very rich leaders in technology want modern society to break down faster.
  • They believe computers and artificial intelligence can build a perfect new world, even if the present world falls apart.
  • The author (Jem Bendell) argues that speeding up this breakdown causes massive harm to everyday people who still depend on current systems for food, medicine, and basic needs.

What is Deceleration?

  • “Deceleration” means choosing to slow things down rather than speeding them up.
  • It means pausing rapid computer and artificial intelligence development so communities can decide how these tools are used safely.
  • It means slowing down damage to nature, giving people time to rebuild local ways of living before current systems fail.

Why Modern Life Feels So Rushed

  • Modern economies require continuous growth, which forces people and machines to work faster and faster.
  • Labor-saving devices and digital tools often increase demands instead of creating free time.
  • Fast lifestyles harm physical health, increase personal anxiety, and reduce the ability to think clearly.
  • Major wisdom traditions throughout history have taught that slowing down brings calm, clear thought, and care for others.

Responding Without Violence

  • Frustration with the destruction of nature leads some activists to consider property damage or violent tactics.
  • The author argues that violent tactics do not work and are often used by authorities as a reason to control the public even more.
  • Many historical movements that created lasting, positive change relied on non-violence.

Practical Steps to Take

  • Recognize the reality that current systems are already beginning to struggle and change.
  • Reduce personal dependence on giant computer and internet companies.
  • Talk with friends, neighbors, and community groups about the need to slow down economic and technological processes and ecological destruction.
  • Practice slowing down everyday personal habits, such as taking more time to eat a meal.

I recorded an informal video introduction to the decelerationist essay, which generated some commentary. One person didn’t like my criticism of the looting and property burning in France. I replied: “I criticise the performative destruction of property, as do the leaders of the left wing alliance and protest organisers in France. They realise how it’s used by the authorities to distract from the massive rallies. That’s all demonstrable. Where’s the evidence that trashing a lux bag shop or a burning a town hall delivers positive radical political outcomes? The people I know who advocate it have never had evidence, just a hypothesis that one day somewhere it would spark a revolution. Says more about them than it does about social change.”

The fact that some people celebrate riots and looting, or choose not to condemn them, is indicative of a dismay at the direction of society and the lack of credible means for changing it. That reminds us of the need for an alternative agenda to the ones that have failed us. You can probably list those agendas that have failed to execute power in ways that protect humanity and the planet: technocratic centrism, ethno-nationalist conservativism, right wing libertarianism, revolutionary socialism and, even, democratic socialism. None of these political philosophies are providing a coherent and relevant response to an era of metacrisis and collapse. It’s why I’ve been supportive of the few people, such as Richard Hames, who are beginning to imagine what a politics of solidarity might involve for the chaotic future we are facing, and offered my own in Breaking Together.

I received feedback on my decelerationist essay from people who work in digital technology or are involved in conversations about it due to living near Silicon Valley. Our conversations revolved around the matter of whether it is smarter to be an outright decelerationist or, instead, accept the technological juggernaut, and try to use more technologies for more positive ends. Some of those I discussed this with also saw the potential of the people who are multimillionaires due to tech, to support good causes and thus not ‘rub them up the wrong way’ by critiquing the source of their wealth (and thus their identity). Well, we disagreed. I also want to see more tech used for better goals but I also want more of us to try to slow down the tech juggernaut. If we don’t resist the way Big Tech and AI are developing, then they could capture or override a lot of the positive alternatives that are being developed. If we ignore how tech and the tech titans are changing the society around us, by extracting monopoly profits, distorting our public sphere, commodifying our private lives, degrading our ability to think and dialogue, undermining necessary policies and regulations, and generating catastrophic risks, to focus, instead, on some nice projects with some open source tech… then we risk the ground we stand on crumbling from under us.

In such conversations I was pointing to what I see as the ‘technoprogressivist’ ideology that exists even amongst people who recognise the systemic drivers of destruction and collapse. The two conceptual communities where I regard this as happening, go by the names ‘regenerative accelerationism’ and ‘metamodernism’. I recommend you look them up and explore the relevant ideas. One key assumption shared by some proponents in those fields is that because we value technology we should value new technology more than existing technology, and we should be generally positive about new technologies. A related belief for many people is a deterministic or even metaphysical perspective on the drive, or the pull, of technology: that it can’t be stopped. I regard such views as incoherent. If we value technology so much, then surely we want more people using technologies. In which case, we can ask why aren’t more people playing musical instruments? They are an amazing technology. Why aren’t more people gardening vegetables? Our ability to work with nature for food production is an amazing technology. I explained more of why I think technological determinism and metaphysical views on the role of technology are both silly, in a thread with the author of the Regenerative Accelerationist Manifesto, Benjamin Life. I paste in the thread below.

Many writers that describe ‘metamodernism’ as a new paradigm for responsible technological development have misrepresented other ideas in a way that covers for their non-reconstructed modernism and technoprogressivism. First, they have presented strawman versions of tech-critical theories and movements, to label them as ‘anti tech doomerism’. That dovetails with their lack of attention to what we could learn from the vast range of existing theories and movements on technology, which I will come to in a moment. Second, there is an inflation of ‘postmodernism’ into a dominant philosophy and era, rather than recognising it is marginal and variegated. For instance, anyone who goes to a University will see that they are modernist in structure, economics, and curricula. Most students and faculty operate within a modernist paradigm, with only a few academics in a few subject disciplines being critical social theorists, and only some of those being postmodernists. In any case, Universities have a minor role within wider society, where modernist values and structures predominate. In the field of environmentalism, that is extremely obvious, as ‘ecomodernism’ has come to dominate all mainstream discussion and policy making, despite being based on obvious falsehoods. This inflation of ‘postmodernism’ by some metamodernist writers allows them to claim postmodernism is a source of paralysis in society. Perhaps they were hoodwinked by the recent politically-motivated critiques of critical social theory. Nevertheless, these two failings are not fatal, and writers and innovators using the concept of ‘metamodernism’ could evolve away from a repackaged technoprogressivism if they integrate more insights from the existing sociology on technology.

In Breaking Together, in the chapter ‘Freedom from Progress’, I provided some sociological background to a critique of the ideology of progress, including rebuttal of some ‘old man’s tales’ on technological determinism. In my essay on decelerationism, I cited some of the extensive sociology on society-technology dynamics, and the way that technologies deployed within expansionist economic systems have not freed the majority up to a life of leisure. I don’t want to revert to being a boring Professor, pompously dismissing people’s ideas for a lack of intellectual heritage and bad referencing, but, wow, the lack of sociological grounding of much recent conversation on what to do about technology is worrying.

Two areas of scholarship and action on technology and society are worth mentioning here. One is close to my heart, as I am a Senior Distinguished Fellow with The Schumacher Institute. That is named after EF Schumacher, whose writings helped to found the Appropriate Technology movement in the 1970s. He reflected a broad sentiment at the time, when he argued for technology that is small-scale, decentralized, labour-intensive, and locally autonomous. Another area is called Democratic Technology. In the 1990s, the philosopher Andrew Feenberg explained that technological development itself needs to be embedded within the principles of democracy, rather than being a separate capitalist entrepreneurial endeavour that is then regulated when governments wake up to the implications. In general the literature on the sociology of technology advocates for the following:

  • Greater citizen, user and stakeholder input into technological development processes to shape technology toward their own ends, rather than leaving design to engineers and corporations. This means opening up the “black box” of technology design and enabling myriad public values to enter technical decision-making.
  • Greater citizen access to existing technologies that are known to be personally beneficial and of limited negative collective impact. This means considering intellectual property, autonomous use and self-maintenance, education and training, free time, and relevant subsidies, to enable utilisation.
  • Changes to market incentives for technology development, to encourage greater alignment with society. That means public funding would be tied to clearer public purpose from developers and commercialisers of technologies.
  • Stronger means for civil society and government to assess, steer and regulate technological development and commercialisation.

There are implications of each of these areas for policy and regulation. For instance, the first area could include that stakeholder participation needs to be part of a firm’s technology development for them to receive any government funding or contracts. That could become a requirement to be licensed to work in their chosen field of technology, or to even be registered at all. For instance, within such a paradigm, OpenAI or Anthropic would only be allowed to exist, to be legally registered, if they had a diverse panel of stakeholders (both expert and citizens via sortition) involved in internal design and development dialogues (yes, they’d probably need NDAs). It is important to realise that in many countries there is control on the areas of a business a company is allowed to operate within, and the revoking of licenses is part of the process of regulating commercial activities.

Any concept or process that ignores those four areas I just listed, to focus instead on how more specialists can pursue technology development and deployment that aligns with their personal ideas of what is good for society, can be accused of ignoring the mass of humanity that is existing within the technocapitalist system. Our approach doesn’t need to be either/or: we can encourage resisting the Big Tech behemoths as well as generating alternatives. In the tech space, there are some organisations that appear to be responding in that way, including Planet Work and the Internet Engineering Task Force (IETF).

My thread with Benjamin Life follows below. It is chunked by character limit, as neither of us pay fees to an aid-trashing trillionaire. Scroll to the end of this post to see the registration info for our Metacrisis salon on the topic.

X/Twitter discussion between Benjamin Life and Jem Bendell, October 2026

Benjamin Life (re/acc) @omniharmonic

tbh i’m still a regenerative accelerationist. the game theory is unstoppable, imho. we can transform collapse into possibility or we can slouch into fascism/chaos, but i don’t think we can slow down. nick land was right. the techno-capital object at the end of history is real.

Jem Bendell @ jembendell

1/9 The claim, by Nick Land and others, that technology and capital have an autonomous dynamic that overrides human volition and determines the future, turns an observation of a powerful social process into a lawlike necessity, akin to a physical law.

2/9 As a lawlike claim, that technological determinism is challenged by evidence of human control of technology under capitalism. Nuclear and biological weapons treaties are examples. So human agreements can constrain technological processes, even within a capitalist age.

3/9 If Land’s proponents say such restraints are merely temporary or local friction, they must specify what would count as counterevidence to their view. If nothing could, their claim is not a description of reality but a prophecy: an ideology insulated from falsification.

4/9 Some of the metaphysical language used by Land and others to describe technology and capitalism also projects anthropomorphic qualities onto social processes. We also require a clearer specification of what “capital” actually denotes within the theory.

5/9 That would open the theory to interrogation: what agreements between humans, around property & money, generate the observed dynamics? In Breaking Together, I present the controlling dynamics of capital (Ch10) but debunk the basis of many technological determinist views (Ch9).

6/9 Remove claims of physical law or metaphysical purpose, and we can observe a techno-capital process that favours the reproduction of hegemonic discourse, allied with the interests of some owners of capital and those persons who acquiesce to them.

7/9 Land’s ideas are an artefact of that process, as is their popularisation. He doesn’t see a greater process others did not; he speaks as part of a known process that is powerful but not omnipotent. His ideas offer ideological cover 4 people within specific factions of capital.

8/9 Land’s ideas might also meet the desires of elites (and their fans) for identity maintenance, a sense of self-worth, and emotional regulation, in the face of the damaging implications of their work, and the dread and despair that might otherwise generate.

9/9 In Breaking Together, I explain ‘Critical Wisdom’ (Ch8) as a multi-dimensional capability for not succumbing to hegemonic discourse and, instead, being present, caring and creative in response to our awareness of societal disruption and collapse. Apols for the chunked thread.. I am slowly cancelling my various payments to US bigtech as part of my practical decelerationism and #RainbowPrepping .

Benjamin Life (re/acc) @omniharmonic

1/ how fitting that the tech oligarchy requires us to pay to maintain a long-form context window. I too have refused to pay elon my techno-feudal tithe.

Let’s see if we can have a nuanced conversation broken apart into 180 character chunks. (Continued below!)

2/ Land is explicit that his argument is retro-causal which I think is one of its strengths rather than weaknesses. Seen via a complex systems perspective, we can describe emergent behaviors like the corporation as something selected for within a game theoretic environment.

3/ If those who embrace an extractive & resource-consolidating mindset are able to dominate those who do not, the system will settle in an equilibrium in which those behaviors feed back on themselves recursively until we get to late stage capitalist techno-fascist consolidation.

4/ Did this process begin with the Dutch East India Company? The dawn of agricultural storehouses? Its hard to say, but it does seem to emanate from a particular worldview that is rooted in some aspect of the colonial mind. Ian McGilchrist’s work seems most descriptive of it.

5/ Understanding it’s origin is useful diagnostically but not prescriptively. Because we engineered a system that rewards consolidation, we can’t fight the game theory. Corporations captured our democratic institutions, media, education, etc, the ground from which we would resist

6/ In that context, collapse is merciful. Accelerationism was first coined by Deleuze & Guattari, not Land, because they saw it as the only endgame of capitalist consolidation. Ramp up the contradictions until the collapse of the substrate forces a new game theoretic landscape.

7/ There’s no putting the genie of techno-capital back in the bottle. It will continue to run its abstracting algorithm until the contradictions are too great for it to metabolize. Elites likely know this, believing authoritarianism can squeeze out a few more years of extraction.

8/ As you observed in the UK after writing Deep Adaptation, no amount of diagnostic clarity can shift the balance of powers that continue to drive extraction even as the biosphere crumbles. We can, I think, embrace collapse & build cosmolocal archipelagos that catch us as we fall

9/ But maybe this conversation is better had in person in SE Asia this Winter. I’d like to come visit you & Michel to hash out the post-collapse, post-left political economy I’ve been calling “bioregional political consciousness,” a populist ecological political metanarrative.

Prof Jem Bendell @jembendell

1/ I agree, and have experienced, that “no amount of diagnostic clarity can shift the balance of powers that continue to drive extraction even as the biosphere crumbles.” The lesson from that is that change requires organisation, strategy, tactics and struggle.

2/ Another lesson is most people aware of our dire global situation are wedded to the view that more knowledge, awareness, education, inspirational stories, technology, and ethical leaders, will generate positive change, sufficient to the scale and urgency required.

3/ It appears to be easier, in the short term, to hold such a view of struggle-free change, until cognitive dissonance leads to a hatred of others, oneself, or existence. I believe I have witnessed (and received) that maladaptive expression of such inner tension in recent years.

4/ You say “embrace collapse & build cosmolocal archipelagos that catch us as we fall.” I see societal collapse as unfolding. But I don’t embrace it. I prefer we try to slow it, soften it, while creating alternatives.

5/ We must organise to defend those alternatives, as collapsing systems won’t leave them alone (whether natural disasters or political oppression). So in Breaking Together, I’ve a chapter on new ideas & projects to celebrate & scale, another on what we must continue to resist.

6/ The concept and practice of slowing down the pace and direction of human societies, and our lives within that, seems very coherent and relatable. People are more aware of the false promise of technology within an expansionist system.

7/ More people are becoming aware of the false promise of technosalvation from our social and environmental predicaments. Many people are rightly concerned about AI development and the aims and ideologies involved.

8/ More people perceive the benefits of slowing down their own lives. To negate human agency, en masse, in response to that rising awareness, would be premature. Instead, we can participate in both resistance and alternatives.

12/ I wonder if u jump from a metaphysical claim onto empirically-based theories, when u refer to game theory. As, if stripped of belief, we can consider game theoretical explanations for human restraints on technology & that being a stable outcome, not a mere pause or friction.

13/ That can sit next to an analysis of economics as engineered for commodification, extraction & expansion. We don’t need assume agency is non-existent by reference to a belief about an inevitable techno-capital future. We can be open to human agency appearing in various ways.

14/ I don’t agree that Land, or tech accelerationism, derives intellectual support from previous analysis, such as Deleuze and Guattari (D&G). They did not advocate for general acceleration of technology, or all of capitalism, or processes of collapse.

15/ They argued we could try one strategy (as agents) to not resist the aspects of capitalism that speed up the removal of old identities, dependencies, habits, and try to seize the moment before capitalism asserts new patterns for all of those olds, as it controls accumulation.

16/ D&G did not imagine processes of technology & capital as an autonomous force, with a metaphysical aspect & humans mere passengers towards the predetermined future. They warned that being involved in technocapital acceleration 4 anticapitalist aims could cause great difficulty

17/ My view is D&G were right to point out that disruptive innovations from tech & capital create new contexts which we, as social agents, can try to foresee, and assess how to act opportunistically for positive social and environmental outcomes.

18/ I agree too many of us who are socially concerned have allowed our suspicion of tech dev to slow our seizing of possibilities. Your work with OpenCivics is a good example of how to attempt +ve change within the opportunities created by technologically-driven social change.

19/ But I also agree with those, like @wself, who argue too many of us who engage in social change are affected by the degradation of thought & organising that comes from immersion in tech-mediated comms. We don’t read, reflect, reject, reorient, choose, organise, & persist

20/ A Q for strategy is where will mass adoption of regen tech & culture emerge from? What opportunities arise from current & predicted social change? Does RESISTANCE to acceleration of tech & capitalist penetration into lifeworlds, form an opportune context 4 regen alternatives?

21/ I believe alienation with – and resistance to – the acceleration of tech & capital provides a generative context. And that an absence of theories of massive social change will not help spread regenerative practices & cosmolocal arrangements in an era of disruption & collapse

22/ Devlping explanations, clarifying strategies, starting projects & networking them together, might create more post-collapse Arks & civilisational seeds, or not. But there is also an intrinsic value in not acquiescing to how capital & power shapes our sense making of the world

23/ Happy to discuss with you, @mbauwens @networkcoin and others in the region. There are some interesting folks on such matters in Malaysia as well… just beginning to combine big picture thinking with some practical projects.

Join the discussion on X/Twitter here.

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I am a decelerationist and you are too

I want everything and everyone to slow down, including myself. Although I’m appalled at the damage to people and planet from industrial consumer societies, I don’t want to accelerate their demise. Like you, I depend on society as it is right now. Therefore, it was surprising to learn that some people who recognise the mess we are in want to accelerate collapse and establish new societies, according to their own priorities. Many such people are insanely rich from investments in technology businesses. As author Naomi Klein writes “the oligarch class… aren’t content to just build the arks. They appear to be doing their best to create the flood.” Her book End Times Fascism, with co-author Astra Taylor, is bringing wider attention to the extreme ideologies of some billionaires. What can come from that awareness is not just negativity about those strange rich men appearing, too often, on our media feeds, but a dialogue on how to respond positively to metacrisis and collapse. In this longform essay, I will explain something called ‘accelerationism’, why it’s a bad idea, and how the deceleration of technology, economic activity, ecological destruction, and even our personal lives, is an important agenda.

After I drafted this essay, I thought it would be useful to double back and start here with a summary of what I mean in the title: I am a decelerationist and you are too. It’s because I want to slow down the destruction of the environment, despite it being too late to prevent a lot of damage. I want to slow down the collapse of societies, despite them being less ethical and beautiful than I imagine is possible. I want to slow down the pace of development and deployment of many technologies so that novel risks can be assessed and managed, despite recognising the many benefits that can come from technology. I want to slow down the system of economic expansion, which is driving the risky approaches to technology, as well as badly centralising wealth in ways that degrade society. I want to slow down the pace of life in general, so that we can be gentler with ourselves, each other, all sentient creatures, and wider nature. Amongst those of us who care for people and planet, I want to slow down the counter-productive compulsion to do more within the same ideology that caused our era’s scary metacrisis. And I want to slow down the misuse of the concept of deceleration, whether by the tech elites, or by some frustrated environmentalists. After years of researching this, and talking with people, I realise that everyone, once freed to analyse and introspect, is a decelerationist too. Yes, I know that’s a bold claim, but if you read to the end, you will see the evidence for it.

To get started, let’s look at the forms of collapse ‘accelerationism’. For some technophiles, it comes with the belief that technology can achieve a wonderful future where all problems are resolved. In particular, they believe that Artificial Intelligence (AI) will achieve some form of general or ‘super intelligence’ that will transform human capabilities. Some believers regard those computational systems as intrinsically valuable, or even potentially more so than sentient creatures, including us humans. The mistakes and psychoses involved in such views are something we will return to. But what is key here is that believers in the possibility of a technological utopia can regard the messiness of our current societies, comprising populations with different ideas, as an impediment to their vision. Consequently, they want to speed up the breakdown of such societies, or find new ways to exit them, such as within so-called ‘special enterprise zones.’

Before continuing, I should state I consider myself a ‘technophile’, as I have always been interested in the possibilities of new inventions. In 2007, years ahead of its popularity, I included Tesla as a ‘future maker’ in a high-profile report for the environmental group WWF-UK. In 2011, I mentioned Bitcoin in my TEDx talk on the need to change society’s relationship with money. In both cases, my views have since evolved on what problems those innovations can solve, or what problems they can make worse, and how they should be regulated. Being impressed with a technology, and open to its applications, does not necessarily blind anyone to the problems caused by how it is deployed.

Recognising the threats to the environment and humanity from hyper-financed and underregulated development of AI in particular, ‘decelerationism’ includes a belief in the need for restraint, so that civil society can better understand the smart policies to guide future AI development. Fortunately, earlier this year, Pope Leo made some clear calls for restraints on AI development. Now many surveys report a widespread belief that AI needs to be better regulated, along with Big Tech more generally. The recent rise of protests against data centres, due to their massive ecological footprints and limited local social benefit, is an expression of this trend. That does not mean that people want the banning of the more efficient opensource forms of AI, which use far less water and power by design, and which are the still-monitorable forms of Large Language Models. Rather, it means people prefer a pause on the development of self-authoring and autonomous forms of AI, as well as wanting international agreements to restrict their use in policing and warfare. Such a pause would enable assessment of what kind of incentives we want to guide AI development in future, informed by a reasonable scepticism that neither geopolitical strength nor profit maximisation are the best drivers of this tech for humanity (issues I reflected on earlier this year). With this in mind, we can question whether the recent concerns of some executives within US Big Tech reflect their wish to restrict competition from cheaper opensource models (when they call for new regulations to reduce risk). 

It is the logic, reasonableness, and widespread nature of concern about the pace and direction of tech development that means I am guessing that you might already be a bit decelerationist. That does not mean you are technophobic, or that you don’t see a useful role for the deployment of well-governed AI. It means you are in touch with the obvious truth that technology is a subset of material reality, that it depends on the environment, and should be guided to serve humanity in general. Intellectually lazy people might dismiss us as luddites, but a more accurate term might be ‘post-Luddite’, due to the belief in maintaining a balanced approach to the pros and cons of technologies. 

Let’s move onto another good reason for decelerating the process of societal collapse. It is the simple fact that, despite its flaws and destructiveness, billions of us rely on industrial consumer societies for all sorts of things that we don’t produce ourselves. As supply chains have stretched, and mass production increased, there are far fewer means of providing our basic needs from local sources than before. Medicines, spectacles, light bulbs — there is so much that we benefit from and rely upon. Like most people I chat to about this, I prefer that we get more time to re-localise what we can of production, give up what we can, and restore the systems that we can, before we are forced to change through disruptions to our economies. Although I recognise that some peoples might benefit from less destruction of their natural environment if the industrialised world collapsed, that is not a clear enough outcome for me to not want to slow the demise of the systems that I, and everyone I know, rely upon.

Phobic responses to reality

Some technocentric accelerationists are aware of the evidence that human societies are hitting ecological limits and suffering as a consequence. My book Breaking Together compiled the evidence for such a view on the unfolding processes of societal collapse. In their economic privilege, most accelerationists can avoid being badly affected in the near term as humanity crosses planetary boundaries. However, like all of us, they assume stories of the way the world is, including the place of humanity, and what is good about themselves – all of which are challenged when recognising the ecological redundancy of existing models of social organisation. Two years ago, I jokingly described the emergence of ‘collapsis’ as “the novel psychological condition of believing illogical ideas to explain the unfolding breakdown of modern societies.” I listed many. But back then I didn’t realise that one delusional way of responding to the creeping collapse of society would be to want to speed it up! But now I see that response can be explained by a psychological ‘pay off’ for people who try to avoid the pain of questioning their values and identity. Allow me to explain…

If someone experiences fear and anger at the demise of the story of human domination of nature and, along with that, their role and value in that conquest, then they could change the frame within which they see any data on social and environmental degradation. They could choose to regard it all as a necessary bottleneck for humanity, and perhaps nature, before entering an era of more human domination of nature and outer space. Then, to make this novel perspective feel more real to them, and to reassert their illusion of human domination over nature, they could adopt the view that accelerating the disruptions would help speed up what comes after a collapse. Such a perspective additionally offers such believers some ‘narrative cover’ for being increasingly numb to the massive suffering to humans and other beings that is caused by the systems they disproportionately benefit from, and which some of them shape, or even impose on the rest of us.

People afflicted by this diseased form of thinking can then adopt sociopathic theories like some variants of tech ‘longtermism’, where they pretend that consciousness-mimicking machines are somehow intrinsically valuable in comparison to the living world and human consciousness. Such people are also attracted to theories that human consciousness is nothing more than an illusion formed by our ‘fleshy machinery’. The promotion of the scientifically weak claims against relative free will, which I documented previously, is also a way of seeking some ideological cover for the idea that AI ‘agents’ should be regarded to have equivalent personhood to humans (and thus reduce the legal liability of their developers).

One of the clearest signs of an ideology and identity being under pressure from the reality of a living world that is being damaged by globalised capitalism, is that some of the tech oligarchs have turned to promoting bizarre theories on morality. Which brings us to the billionaire Peter Theil. He has been giving speeches where he claims that those of us who condemn unregulated profit maximising approaches to technology are either anti-society, anti-human, or even, wait-for-it, comprising a collective Anti-Christ. Obviously, there is nothing in any Christian teaching that destroying the natural world and impoverishing people to make faster computer chips and more powerful software is God’s will. Indeed, all religious traditions and spiritual philosophies point to an opposite view — that a fear of death and of personal insignificance drives the human desire to control others and nature, rather than us living in divine grace and gratitude. Although there might be some deep psychological issues within people trying to imagine an evil entity outside of themselves and dress that in religious terminology, in this case, Theil’s claim might merely be a cover story for justifying global domination.

In wise and free societies, people with obviously illogical, and possibly paranoid, ideas would be ignored or ostracised. Sadly, power has been given over to a network of international capitalists and computer geeks who fund prestigious university departments and scholars, and who wield incredible powers of mass manipulation through social media. If you are interested in looking deeper on this bizarre quirk in the metacrisis, philosopher Emile Torres has done some crucial reporting on the development and promotion of these ideas, and how they are providing self-justifications amongst the tech titans (and those tempted by their power and money).

This ‘collapse accelerationism’ of elites was foretold in science fiction writing by Hugh Howey, which has now become the successful TV series Silo. In that story, a cabal of billionaires, politicians, and scholars, concluded that civilisation was going to be destroyed by a technological catastrophe, so they should destroy it on their own timetable, to preserve a population underground, which they would shape to then repopulate the planet with a different form of society. (If you haven’t seen it, I recommend it — just forget this slight plot spoiler!).

Unlike Hugh, the accelerationism of elites is something I did not foresee. However, it is in the same psychological ballpark of the reckless responses to collapse awareness that I noticed and commented on years ago. Specifically, the realisation amongst some epidemiologists that we are entering an age of regular pandemics, led them to fund highly dangerous research on pathogens. That is something I explained when looking at the extent of lab leaks of dangerous human-influenced viruses. The same rationale is now growing for taking major planetary risks with some ‘solar radiation management’ techniques. In all these situations, the same wish to avoid experiencing dread and despair, and the same clinging to old stories of human supremacy and personal power, is involved in the reckless agendas. It is also the root cause of the proto-authoritarianism I am hearing amongst some environmentalists as they become exasperated at the direction of humanity, but don’t look at their own role in perpetuating the systems of capitalism and imperialism which produced the tragedy. That’s a topic I’ve discussed in depth before.

Rich accelerationists aren’t yet the main reason for the accelerating mess in societies around the world, but they aren’t helping. That is not only through their reckless approach to AI, including their lobbying for lax regulations and more massive datacentres. Additionally, the Tech Bros and their investor friends are funding ethno-nationalisms around the world, so that more of us turn on each other, rather than turn against them and their puppets in government. Some of them justify their approach, by choosing to believe that because humanity needs to triage declining world resources, Judaeo-Christian cultures should club together in a mean-spirited death match of civilisations. They are finding some odd bedfellows for such views, amongst Christian congregations who are misled to think that regarding these as the ‘End Times’ means we forget Jesus’ teachings that we care for the oppressed and we seek peace. Another example of the damage being done by rich accelerationists is their recent shaping of new currency orders, including those ‘stable coins’ which game the markets and enrich the corrupt. On that agenda, Jeffrey Epstein and Howard Lutnick weren’t just physical neighbours — they were ideological ones. The political project they appear to share with the accelerationist billionaires is to replace nation states altogether with corporate monarchies. That also works as a handy cover story for avoiding more taxes in luxury gated communities (dubbed ‘network states’ by their fans).

It must be embarrassing to some of the guys who took pride in being free thinkers and ‘sovereign individuals’ that they now champion the views of elites who try to control everyone, enrich themselves, and remake the world in their own image. Their sycophancy sometimes turns aggressive, with calls for hurting the lives of people who disagree with their accelerationism. This ‘vibe’ is illustrated by the popular posts of someone presenting as ‘Beff Jezus,’ who regards calls for reasonable restraint and guidance on AI as evil and wants people to hack ‘opponents’ rather than just make their arguments. The comments on such posts also show how simplistic nationalism is being used to justify reckless unregulated AI development.

Accelerating your life isn’t good for you

By now you might agree with me that there are some weird people out there, sometimes with masses of power, and a reckless agenda. But there is a broader ideology, of which most of us are a part, that is worthy of some rethinking. When a new technology appears, it is normal to be impressed by the new capacities it gives us and to assume it will unlock more free time in our lives. I once thought that. However, research on the dissemination of technology in society tells a different story. Consider the washing machine, which was thought to liberate women, in particular, from hours of domestic labour. Initially, it began to do just that, but then expectations changed, so we now wash clothes far more frequently than a century ago. Some of the time saved was consumed by doing more laundry, some by earning the money to buy and run the machine, and some by the changing need for homeworkers to be active in the job market. Another example of lost expectations is the introduction of email. Initially, it seemed like a fast substitute for writing and sending letters. Then it vastly expanded written communication, so that inboxes are perpetually full and every moment saved from letter writing has been colonised by new demands. Just as writing this, I suddenly remembered the peace of my undergraduate days before emails. And I broke into “oh I believe in Yesterday…”

But nostalgia isn’t analysis. So, let’s look more closely at why this process of lost expectations is typical. The researchers on this topic conclude that it is not inherent in a technology, such as a washing machine, that social norms naturally change to use it to do much more of an activity, or that any time saved is then deployed on non-leisurely activities. Rather, an economic system that demands constant growth and productivity, takes advantage of new efficiencies to generate new demands on us. The social commentator Brett Scott explains this well in a short video. He echoes the work of sociologists, such as Judy Wajcman and Hartmut Rosa, who argue that technological innovations did not deliver lots of free time because they are embedded within a capitalist logic of unending escalation, rather than serving human freedom. This embeddedness within economic systems is why new technologies that provided leaps in the efficient use of resources have not led to a decoupling of economic growth from resource consumption. One institution in this process are the stock markets, where traded companies are assessed against each other for their future returns on investment. A deeper causal process is the issuing of the money supply by private banks, as debt, with interest. That means additional money is required for servicing existing debts, which comes from new loans, which are only issued when there is new economic activity. Understanding these dynamics is quite a chore, and I recommend Chapter 2 in my book for further explanation. Put simply, the expansionist economic system produces a society that must continuously accelerate its activities. If you feel like life is speeding up, then that is because it is designed that way. And if you also notice that the destruction of planet Earth is speeding up, then please know that is because it is also designed that way.

My personal experience with eating (yep, the simple act of eating) illustrates how deeply these economic systems shape our inner worlds. I tend to finish my meals faster than my dining companions. Over the years, I have tried to slow down, but I soon forget, and go back to eating in a hurry. Eventually, I realised I developed this habit because I had wanted to get back to more productive activity – such as my work, domestic chores, or self-improvement. So, I had a deep compulsion toward ceaseless productivity. Then I noticed my cat would only eat rapidly if another cat was around and might take some of his meal. Could my own compulsion to productivity relate to a similar sense of scarcity and competition? Unlike my brother, I’ve never had my lunch eaten by a cat, but a constant state of vigilance could have manifested in me as my habit of rapid eating.

With these ‘hunches’ on my inner mess, I looked up the psychological research. I found that anxiety correlates with over-eating. And as eating rapidly means one has less time for a satiated feeling to help one stop, so rapid eating is related to over-eating. Correlations have also been observed between worse mental health and rapid eating, with evidence the influence is in both directions. Moreover, rapid eating, with limited chewing, doesn’t support one’s health. Then I found that rapid eating is subtly encouraged by social pressures, with ‘fast food’ culture being an obvious expression of that. I was reading all about this research while in a café. I was there as I had decided not to cook, so I could focus on finishing a first draft of this essay. All that healthy organic veg was in the fridge, neglected as I focused on being productive. Feeling a bit small, I remembered that at least awareness is the first step towards change. But it was then that I noticed I had cleared my plate, without being aware of my speed eating, as I’d been so busy thinking about social acceleration. Clearly, it’ll take some time for me to liberate myself from this bad habit.

The word ‘impatience’ seems relevant here. It is something that US Big Tech has promoted amongst so many of us. They have focused on how to get us addicted to our screens, so that they collect more data and show us more adverts.  The habit of constant scrolling and watching short videos has been rotting our capabilities for proper thought. Before that, it was normal to sit with information, compare it to other information, and reflect on our stories of the world, before deciding whether or not to do anything about it. That process is where the possibility exists for formulating intentional action. Instead, with social media, we react and move to the next content, wrongly assuming that we have been better informed and have actually acted on the information via a simple like, comment, share, or subscribe.

Modern psychology tells us a lot about the benefits of mindfulness and escaping automatic patterns. There is also ancient insight, spanning millennia and tradition, that it is deeply helpful to wilfully slow down our process of cognition, choice, and action. The most well-known teaching on that is from Buddhism, which focuses on the cultivation of our ability to witness sensations, thoughts, and emotions, so that we can perceive and choose from a calmer state of mind, which is more curious and compassionate. Similar teachings are found in Hinduism, where the sage Patanjali advised in Yoga Sutra 1.2 on how we can stop the habitual reactions in our minds. Taoism puts the slowing down of our thinking and striving at the centre of its teachings. Its concept of wu-wei invites a general non-forcing towards life. It also teaches that the ultimate source and flow of life can’t be fully known through those concepts, words, and stories, with which we divide it. Therefore, stillness and silence are regarded as a way for us to make room for the ultimate reality, or source, to be felt directly.

Although more widely regarded as systems of belief than intentional calming, both Christianity and Islam include teachings on the moral virtue of not rushing or being driven to act by momentary emotions. Traditionally regarded as being closer to a mystic experience of Jesus Christ, the book of James (1:19) reports him saying “let every person be quick to hear, slow to speak, slow to anger.” In Hadith 25, Prophet Mohammed is reported to tell a companion: “you possess two qualities which are beloved to Allah: calm and lack of haste.” With all these religious teachings in mind, we can regard the agendas and effects of the tech oligarchs as an empowered evil (the opposite of the strange claims of Peter Theil that we covered earlier).

Looking back on moments when I have been unkind or unwise, the one common factor has been that I’ve felt rushed and overwhelmed. In my personal life, that rush meant I responded from the wounded part of myself. In my professional life, rushing my work meant I did not take time to assess the full implications of some of my communications (e.g. emails and calls with Jeffrey Epstein). The research on when people don’t live up to their espoused values, and their normal ethical behaviour, due to rushing or being hurried, points to my own experience being common. Personal experience, modern psychology and religious teachings are all pointing to a clear conclusion: social acceleration is harmful for ourselves and all our relations. That’s why, on this issue, I am comfortable being one of those theorists who claims to know your “real interests” … that the truly free you wants to be allowed to slow down. Only manipulated, hurt, or traumatised, people feel a need to think and act ever faster. That’s why I am a decelerationist, and you are too.

If that is so, then I guess you aren’t such a fan of capitalism either, even if you don’t feel comfortable talking about that in public. To avoid any doubt, let’s recap. The two examples I gave, of rushed eating and online scrolling, can be traced back to the dynamics and influences of capitalism. It is that expansionist economic system which shaped the productivist ideologies and sense of scarcity that then encouraged my habit of rapid eating. The demands of shareholders are what propelled the Big Tech firms to devise ways to get us constantly online, rather than giving us tools to experience more time offline. I could also explain my moments of less-than-perfect behaviour in personal and professional life as an outcome of the pressures from capitalist dynamics. But that would sound like making excuses, so I’ll just leave it there…

I don’t want to make you feel guilty, but the general acceleration of our lives is why most of us have valued convenience above living our values or protecting ourselves. Facebook, Gmail, Instagram, Twitter/X, LinkedIN, WhatsApp and Microsoft software … all of these services have been the quickest and easiest ways to connect. Because of the way they are owned, directed, and geopolitically allied, our prioritising of convenience has enabled the construction of a global ‘technofeudalism’, where our societies are being damaged by the reckless developments and perverted ideologies of oligarchs.

Implications for social action

The acceleration of capital accumulation is why more of us are losing our original wealth of clean air, some nature nearby, a patch of land nearby with some time to grow our own, and some spaciousness in life to contemplate it all. But it doesn’t have to be this way. “Imagine days divine, no longer in a race with time. Every day we wake up is a day to shine.” Those are lines from the musician Common, rapping on his latest album. He is one of the actors in the sci-fi series that I mentioned earlier, Silo. His line resonated with me, as one of our freedoms to reclaim is from the ideology of progress. In my book chapter on that, I explain how that ideology hampers us from being honest about the tragic situation that humanity has entered, and from seeing the lies that technology will save us from further mess.

Whenever I attend a gathering of economically-advantaged professionals discussing environmental and social problems, I hear a version of the ideology of progress and lack of attention to how to slow the acceleration of society due to economic systems. The latest example was the ‘Global Tipping Points’ conference in Malaysia. The conversations were about replicating, scaling, and speeding up examples of positive activities, not how to slow down the capitalist juggernaut of destruction and oppression. Such a focus requires an amnesia about what has been tried, and what has failed, over the past decades. But it also rehearses progressivist ideology, where we are invited to focus on what’s new and how to do more of that. The scholarly field of ‘degrowth’ gets closer to abandoning the mental straightjacket of progressivism, but often avoids the need to change the economic and monetary drivers of acceleration and expansion. Within that field, some people are noticing an irony, or incoherence, in their work. Author Marcos Rupérez Cerqueda explains: “Many degrowth advocates, myself included, live at the pace of the civilization we want to slow down: flights to conferences, careers that demand more output, a constant rush to tell everyone we need to slow down.”

The concept of ‘slowing down’ does sometimes appear amongst environmental activists and professionals. The Buddhist community Plum Village has been encouraging climate activists and professionals to do just that, as an opportunity for seeing with new eyes, and reassessment, not only for more moments of calm. Separately, Nigerian philosopher Bayo Akomolafe’s statement that “the times are urgent, we must slow down,” is increasingly quoted amongst environmentalists. To take that sentiment to heart means the inner work of slowing down and observing our habits and aversions, so we allow our perception of reality to change us. It can also imply the outer work, of identifying social acceleration, and its economic drivers, as a fundamental challenge.  However, when calls to ‘slow down’ are understood merely as a critique of the validity of messages of urgency and calamity from scientists, activists and professionals, then that is a confusion. We don’t need climate activists to remove the urgency in their rhetoric, but hope that they find the time to deepen their understanding of the complex dynamics of climate and the deeper monetary drivers of ecological destruction, as two reasons why humanity has not been slowing climate chaos.

This broader understanding of the importance of slowing down, and the unavoidable barrier of systems which demand we speed up, is why I think the term decelerationism could be useful. Other people with concern over the centralising power of capitalism and/or authoritarianism have, instead, chosen to accommodate the idea that to accelerate is good. For instance, with d/acc, Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin is supporting what he considers are technologies against authoritarian control. With re/acc, author Benjamin Life is promoting the development of technologies which enable more community-owned resourcing, communication, and exchange. Although the projects they champion are often good ones, by using the term accelerationism, the risk is that people will overlook deeper critiques of accelerationism, and the importance of a general philosophy of slowing down technology, capital, and society, along with our personal lives and habitual thinking.

Is this just intellectual pontification? Clearly, having written this essay, I don’t think so. Crucially, these ideas are relevant to help passionate activists not lose their way and get used by powerful interests. I am referring here to another form of collapse accelerationism, found amongst grassroots activists. This is believed by some people who become so annoyed that they sometimes smash things up. I met some of them during the anti-globalisation protests in Genoa in 2001, where they were called the ‘black bloc’. On the streets, during a riot, a couple of them told me that burning a bank, fighting a cop, and triggering police brutality on peaceful protestors, were all part of a tactic for radicalising society. Historical evidence of social struggles, plus evidence of what happened in Genoa that week, proves the opposite is the case. That’s because groups within the state, or powerful private networks, insert undercover ‘agent provocateurs’, who then trigger violence to enable both public disgust and state repression of anyone expressing critical views, even if peacefully. This is important to keep in mind, because as societies become more unequal and less affordable, more divided and less aspirational, there will be more social unrest. That is why the riots of 2026 have come as no surprise to many sociologists. Nor does the existence of the ‘black bloc’ within them, and the video evidence of hooded men moving around alongside police during the riots in France. In most cases the street violence will be used to generate public support for, and justify, more divisive and authoritarian politics, just as it has done throughout history.

Recognising the temptation towards performative violence is relevant to our situation today. Environmental activists are feeling bereft at the lack of change, are dreading what is unfolding with climate chaos, while also suffering the consequences of the state repression of their non-violent tactics of awareness raising. In that context, some commentators are arguing for environmental movements to abandon a commitment to non-violence. Looking at the book of one of the main proponents of this view, I immediately saw reckless, logical fallacies. Academic Andreas Malm makes his case for reconsidering the principle of non-violence by listing all the non-violent strategies and tactics that failed. But the fact they haven’t produced massive social change towards sustainability and justice does not mean that violent tactics will achieve that. The examples in his book on how to achieve change through violent action are few and irrelevant for people in contexts of advanced societies. They also overlook the one area where destruction of property has a history of working — industrial sabotage by employees. For instance, if an employee of an oil company is also a clandestine activist, no one needs to blow up a pipeline — the employee can simply order the wrong one. If a movement imagines itself as engaged in performative outsider-only tactics, then it is not a serious movement. Sadly, many people involved in environmental activism are members of the middle classes who are expressing their values and identity rather than focusing on what can help drive change.

Some people have argued that advocating for non-violence is only possible from a position of privilege — that is, from a place where one is not being violently oppressed. However, this assumption implies that speaking from privilege automatically makes your view incorrect, regardless of what you are saying or what the implications might be for both privileged and non-privileged people. That line of thinking can also lead to an illogical conclusion: that simply by recognizing one’s own privilege — or identifying the privilege of others you disagree with — one’s own position automatically gains merit. Instead, we can recognise that many of the most effective non-violent movements — from Gandhi in India to the U.S. civil rights movement to Solidarity in Poland — were led by oppressed people, not privileged outsiders. So, the premise that non-violence is only advocated from privilege is empirically false. I make this point here, as my past arguments against agnosticism on violent tactics within environmentalism were criticised by some on the basis of my privilege. Today the arguments are worth repeating, as governments in many countries are gearing up to be able to use individual instances of violence as excuses for widespread ideological oppression. Therefore, anyone encouraging activist violence is doing the bidding, knowingly or not, of the emerging fascist agenda to control populations during societal disruption and collapse.

A louder no and a greater yes

You may agree with my arguments, but still feel angry, and want to give that some expression. Me too. So, let’s not hold back in calling the accelerationists cowardly ignorant malevolent scum, whose billionaire adherents should be prosecuted, fined and jailed for their attempts to disrupt societies around the world. But let’s also be bigger than that. Let’s acknowledge they may have made some mistakes in a rather stressful time for us all, and could have an awakening one day to become useful allies in the turbulent times ahead. Let’s also get back to becoming the best we can be according to our own truth.

What might that involve? Well, there is a lot I have heard people doing because of their awareness of metacrisis and collapse. I recently met Finn Harries, who was a famous YouTuber before my Deep Adaptation paper woke him up to the urgency of the climate crisis. That started him on a journey that now sees him running a regenerative farm and promoting such approaches through his new podcast (please see our conversation). Also, recently I met Kin Thao from Vietnam, who is blending interfaith understanding with international cooperation on promoting ecovillages and eco-communities across Asia (you could see our conversation as well). Last month I received an email from a friend saying the founder of Biggar Market Garden in Scotland had started the initiative after reading my Deep Adaptation paper years ago. We don’t hear much about what has become a globally dispersed movement of collapse preparedness, as both the mainstream media and algorithms do the ideological work of elites to keep us blaming outgroups and believing false hopes. It is why people like you, my dear reader, could help by sharing writing like this essay with some individuals you know (avoiding the social media black hole that exists for truly radical content).

I mention those examples not just to illustrate what’s happening, but to some offer some inspiration. Other commentators on this situation have said that we need a clear narrative to challenge the accelerationists. Naomi Klein advises countering “their apocalyptic narratives with a far better story about how to survive the hard times ahead without leaving anyone behind. A story capable of draining end times fascism of its gothic power and galvanizing a movement ready to put it all on the line for our collective survival.” Many people who have the privilege to write and talk about these things advocate for an alternative narrative that is neither collapse-accepting nor apocalyptic. They often imply that people with relative privilege, such as you and me, do not need to face a drastic decline in our living standards. However, an alternative narrative to that of the accelerationists will need to be more honest and humble than that.

First, the narrative needs to accept what science is indicating, economics is forcing, and politics is spoiling. Already modern industrial societies are in the early stages of a process of collapse. The data shows that negative trajectories are being observed in countries around the world, pointing to fractures in the underlying foundations of energy, resources, biodiversity, food, climate and political-economic legitimacy. People are experiencing that as extreme price rises, rising debt, thwarted life expectations, fracturing communities, as well as physical and mental difficulties. An honest narrative will not be one that gaslights people about their own experiences and the science on the predicament faced.

Second, the alternative narrative to accelerationism needs to include the correct diagnosis of why the current predicament has emerged. It must explain how our difficulties are the result of an economic and monetary system, and that system is why there is such concentration of wealth and the power of mass manipulation, which now makes the derangement of elites a public risk. Anyone who argues that our response to tech accelerationism, or ‘end times fascism’ should be some more taxes, regulations on technology, and a nice new story of the future, would be misunderstanding the dynamics that brought us to this point. They would also be overlooking the evidenced failure after many decades of that kind of reformism.

Third, as we are a world of 8 billion people, it is both silly and unethical to attempt to be prescriptive for how people around the world can respond to the predicament. I say unethical, as I recognise the dignity and sovereignty of people to assess and decide for themselves in their contexts. This inspires my anti-imperialism and eco-libertarianism. By anti-imperialist, I mean that I oppose the imposition of political, economic or cultural models by powerful states and institutions upon less powerful peoples for the maintenance of that power (even if people think they aren’t doing that). By eco-libertarian, I mean that I favour self-determination, outside of the manipulations and coercions from modern capitalism, while recognising that we must collectively choose to restrain behaviours within ecological realities (see more on these definitions here). These principles have made me wary of general recommendations for others to adopt, across radically different cultural, political and material circumstances. Instead, my approach has been to support people’s own exploration of what’s important to them. Since 2018, I have offered the Deep Adaptation framework for personal and collective reflection. Now that many people are thinking about how to prepare for disruption and collapse, I developed a menu of positive action areas to consider (check out ‘Rainbow Prepping’). In all this work, I am encouraging a diversity of efforts to slow and soften collapse, to learn from it and seed new ways of life, without attachment to outcome. In that sense, we can all support a greater Yes to many responses, after a louder No to the latest extremes of imperialist power.

I hope I have won you over to the idea that you are a decelerationist too. As sane, aware, and kind people, we want to slow the development of technologies that require masses of the world’s finite resources, while adding to existential risks, so that we in civil society have the opportunity to shape the direction of technological development. We are also decelerationists because we want to slow the destruction of the natural world, without neglecting or accelerating human suffering. And we are decelerationists because we want the opportunity to slow things down in our own lives, as we seek to be our best selves.

I find it ironic that one Big Tech company knows it can benefit from slowing things down. Apple TV decided to release the final season of Silo nine months after Season 3, despite filming the season at the same time. That means ‘word of mouth’ and social commentary can spread and build a new audience ahead of the final series. It also means some fans can ‘binge watch’ the earlier series just before the last one begins. But that’s just a dynamic for a TV series. If we want to try to slow down tech, slow down our lives, slow down destruction, we will need to act. Although it would be nice to get some ‘social’ media engagement with these ideas, I recognise the irony of feeding the beast. So here are five suggestions:

  • Explore and plan how to reduce your reliance on most of US Big Tech (see the information and interaction sovereignty section of Rainbow Prepping)
  • Send this essay to one of the social commentators you follow with a request they give more attention to the systemic economic drivers behind accelerating destruction and unrestrained technology.
  • Send this essay to the leader of any spiritual, religious, cultural, or educational group, which you are part of, with a covering letter about your concerns, expressing the view it is time to speak out against the strange ideas being promoted by tech oligarchs and those cultural leaders and political leaders whom they fund.
  • Write to your political representative, and any relevant official in a trade union or professional association you are part of, with a covering letter about your concerns, and request for a change in reliance on US Big Tech services.
  • Eat a meal more slowly than normal and talk to someone about why you are doing that (if you already eat slowly, just enjoy your freedom with that). OK, this action is more of a ‘note to self’!

I look forward to hearing your ideas, if you are part of the Metacrisis Initiative (information to join the next salon follows below). The Deep Adaptation and Metacrisis Leadership group on LinkedIn is another space where you can share your thoughts on this essay.

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This is a reader-supported human, doing the thinking, talking and then writing. I used DeepSeek to check some ideas and find some sources, but the drafting of text is all my own (sorry if it was a bit clunky in places). It takes a while to put together essays like this, where I try to integrate what I know from my past in interdisciplinary academia, analysis of my own life, listening to others, reading social commentary, and choosing what’s most relevant to share with people who know me as a thinker and educator on positive responses to metacrisis and collapse. I aim for another 100 members of the Metacrisis Initiative to ensure I can keep allocating my time to this kind of analysis on related topics. As a member you also have the opportunity of attending salons and participating in the peer mentoring groups. In any case, you help to keep it all going. It’s 8 bucks a month, or 80 a year. Join us?

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During the next Metacrisis Salon, we will discuss how we can usefully slow down our lives as well as those within our fields of influence — where ‘usefully’ means less damage to ourselves, others, and nature. The background reading for the salon is this essay.

Join the Metacrisis Initiative to chat with me and others in a salon

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Then catch me elsewhere…

A dozen disputed but now demonstrable facts about climate change from the consequential Deep Adaptation paper of 2018

white clouds and blue sky

As I drafted the first part of the Deep Adaptation paper in 2018, I sought to summarise what I had concluded was the most salient climate science that established “the premise that it is time we consider the implications of it being too late to avert a global environmental catastrophe in the lifetimes of people alive today.” In the months and years after the paper went viral with a million downloads, there was a backlash from top climatologists and environmental professionals. One of the main arguments from experts dismissing the paper was the lack of peer review. But years later, it’s been reviewed by reality, in the form of observational data about our current climate. There were a dozen claims in Deep Adaptation which were disputed by mainstream climatology but are now considered decided by science, or demonstrable by observational data. In 8 years, these dozen claims went from contentious to near consensus.

In this essay, I will summarise the claims made in the paper, compared to what the position was of ‘establishment climatology’ (as represented by IPCC and top climatologists), and what is near-consensus in 2026. My purpose here is not to update the record, defend past contributions, or complain about mistakes by individuals. Instead, I aim to contribute to a discussion of how organised science and the environmental professions can avoid making new mistakes based on the same dynamics that led to past ones. Those mistakes included not confirming and communicating the twelve claims I will explain in this essay. They also included dismissing, suppressing, and sometimes demonising such claims and the people making them. Unless such mistakes are recognised, even privately, then they can be repeated in new ways, with significant consequences for what is an existential issue.

Although some top climatologists may wish to claim they warned us about what is happening to our world, the truth is they didn’t predict the extent or speed of current changes and publicly claimed that they were avoidable with the right policies. This departure of lived reality from established views, and potentially some underlying theories, means that earnest forms of integrative research analysis can be more welcome in future. For instance, when critics claimed I was cherry-picking the science, they were ignoring the important process of salience-picking from a mass of information for identification of real-world implications and applications of knowledge. Research analysts with the necessary skills and a focus on identifying what describes reality, not what is an interesting area for further investigation, can sometimes be better at salience identification than scientists within an established academic discipline. Consequently, there remains a role for such integrative analysis, just as there remains a role for climate scientists working within various institutions that combine to produce what becomes establishment climatology.

After interrogating the claims in this essay, I believe you will agree that the recent data and research confirm that the alarmists on climate were mostly right, and our critics were wrong, so we could all learn from that to guide a better response today, without further mistakes due to the dynamics which produced previous ones. That presents us with a fresh challenge. Without boasting and blaming, nor pride and prejudice, professionals in climate science and communications must now find a deeper level of courage, to explore what has been overlooked or marginalised in the past, to then call people to action on a wider agenda, including emergency adaptation, environmental restoration, and economic transformation, alongside the remaining challenge of carbon cuts and drawdown.  

The dozen climate-related claims in Deep Adaptation (Bendell, 2018)

Claim 1: Sea-level rise is accelerating worldwide. I made this claim based on global satellite data that was available at the time.[1][Numbered references are at the end of the document]. Therefore, it was already an observed reality, but it hadn’t been confirmed as scientific fact, nor discussed as a centrally-important indicator, in establishment climatology at that time. The IPCC AR5 in 2014 was cautious, noting that the rate of rise detected during the satellite era (from 1993 onward) was higher than the 20th-century average, without making that a headline finding. In 2021, in their AR6 publication, the IPCC recognised acceleration in sea level rise as an established observation rather than a tentative finding. A study in 2026 confirmed a doubling of the rate of the global rise.[2]

Claim 2: Climate change is probably accelerating. I argued that the acceleration of sea-level rise is a good indicator of what is happening in the global climate system, as the most contributory causes are thermal expansion of water and ice melt from on-land sources. The only theoretical caution on that view is if part of the rise is a delayed response from thermal expansion of water at deeper depths due to past warmer surface waters mixing with them. However, top climatologist Professor Stefan Rahmstorf had already noted in 2007 that, all things considered, sea level is one of the most robust indicators of long-term warming because it integrates climate changes over time rather than reflecting short-term atmospheric fluctuations. Adding evidence of accelerating sea level rise to the science on heat-amplifying feedbacks, I concluded that we were probably at the start of greater acceleration in climate change. At the time, the scientific establishment did not agree (e.g. IPCC AR5). In 2021, in the AR6, the IPCC reported the acceleration in warming, reaching 0.2°C per decade in the period 2001–2020. However, it did not make that a key finding, and many of the most famous climatologists continued to claim there was no acceleration. Despite them, it is now widely agreed that the rate of climate change has already accelerated, with disagreements on how fast and why. Key texts on this came out in scientific journals in 2024[3] and 2026.[4] I continued my own research analysis on the topic, going to COP27 in Egypt in 2022 to warn about aerosol reductions leading to heat acceleration.[5] Then I went further last year, summarising the evidence and theory for declines in natural cloud seeding from large forests and healthy oceans.[6]

Claim 3: Natural carbon sinks, including forests and oceans, will probably decline and some turn into sources of carbon, so natural emissions will increase. I cited the science available on this issue at the time. I also pointed to the science on how the carbon fertilization effect on plants was probably reaching its limit, thereby removing this past buffer. However, the consensus at the IPCC since 2014 had been that the carbon fertilization effect would mean that during this century there would be an expanding uptake of CO2, before a future decline in high warming scenarios. Today the evidence is extensive that the global carbon cycle has already been altered to reduce the effectiveness of both land and ocean sinks. One integrative study in 2025 found that this already accounts for around 8%, of the observed increase in atmospheric CO₂ concentration.[7] A study the previous year reported on the certain end of the carbon fertilization effect on land due to the extent of recent warming.[8] Another paper reported that in 2023 the global non-polar oceans probably absorbed about 10% less CO₂ than expected due to heating up.[9] The long term prospects could also be more bleak than previously assessed, as one study in 2026 found that microbes break down far more carbon into CO2 after decades of being in a significantly warmer environment.[10]

Claim 4: Self-amplifying feedback threatens further acceleration of heating despite potential emissions cuts. In the paper I wrote: “Non-linear changes are of central importance to understanding climate change, as they suggest both that impacts will be far more rapid and severe than predictions based on linear projections and that the changes no longer correlate with the rate of anthropogenic carbon emissions. In other words – ‘runaway climate change.’” I did not use the term ‘runaway’ warming to claim exponential or eternal warming, despite subsequent negative misrepresentations of the paper. At the time, some scientists were working on the concept of ‘tipping points’ where there would be irreversible forward lurches in warming, but establishment climatology was not foregrounding this issue. For instance, in AR5, the IPCC mentioned such dangers in the context of “long term climate change: projections” with low confidence in predicting their likelihood during this century.[11] Today, there is more serious analysis and discussion of such tipping points. Some analysis concludes that certain tipping points are probably already passed, in the range of 1.5C global warming above pre-industrial levels.[12] That average heat has already occurred for a whole year, and less than that average is unlikely to be witnessed again by our generation (although in 2026 mainstream climatologists continue to frame it as a potentially temporary overshoot).[13] Analysis of the Earth’s net incoming energy-flux imbalance has helped to clarify this situation. Some experts in that field concluded that the data “implies a climate sensitivity much larger than is generally accepted, and under some interpretations even runaway warming.”[14] Some scientists have concluded that whatever humans do with emissions cuts, sea ice in the Arctic will disappear in the years ahead. [15] Because of the probable return of Arctic sea ice in the winter after a summer without it, some scientists prefer not to regard such a change as a tipping point, despite how the additional heat captured in the oceans from ice-free summers then makes the ice-free winters inevitable, further amplifying warming, massively.

Claim 5: The rise of atmospheric methane concentrations is accelerating, and we cannot be sure if one source of increase is from the oceans, which points towards potential existential risk. At the time of publishing Deep Adaptation, the consensus science, as represented by AR5 of the IPCC was that rising methane concentrations were not certainly accelerating and that a largescale release of methane from the sea floor was very unlikely, so not something for near-term concern. Since then, observational data has continued to show unanticipated non-linear increases in methane concentrations in the atmosphere, confirming my claim in 2018.[16] That has been difficult to explain with existing methane sources, and it is also difficult to use isotopes to differentiate methane hydrates on the seabed from some other sources, such as wetlands. The view of establishment climatology remains that a massive release of methane from the seabed is not a significant risk this century.[17] New studies confirm my view that subsea sources are something to remain curious about, observe carefully, and include in our scenarios. In 2026, a study reported that ancient methane is demonstrably escaping from Arctic subsea permafrost systems.[18] There is also evidence that methane hydrates on the sea floor can migrate around 40 km, so can be released into shallower depths where they can reach the atmosphere.[19] Obviously, I am intensely relieved that I could find nothing more significant to report on this topic, other than the worrying data just summarised.

Claim 6: Do not rely entirely on climate computer modelling to assess future risks. The Deep Adaptation paper set aside establishment climatology’s reliance on computer modelling of future climate scenarios as the centrepiece of discussions on global warming. Instead, I focused on what, as an outside research analyst, I considered the most salient research findings (including the paleo record) and current indicators (such as sea level rise acceleration). Since then, some model simulations were misrepresented for a narrative to run for a few years that warming would stop after emissions hypothetically ceased, which was strongly debunked by 2024.[20] In addition, some experts and journalists scraped some good news stories together from hypotheticals involving tweaks to model simulations.[21] Previously in 2019, the latest and most sophisticated models projected far hotter temperatures,[22] which were closer to my 2018 conclusions, only for them to be deprioritised by establishment climatologists in a rather arbitrary way.[23] By 2026 that deprioritising was found to be untenable, after incorporating recent measurements on the Earth’s energy imbalance.[24] Over the last 8 years, some of the world’s leading modellers, such as Dr Wolfgang Knorr, have criticised the rather worshipful deference to modelling. However, models remain the centrepiece of mainstream climatology, with top scientists arguing that any failings of models should mean more funding for better modelling. Also in 2026, measurements of changes in the world’s climate revealed that many of the models being relied on were likely underestimating future heating.[25] That adds weight to the view we shouldn’t be relying entirely on models for risk assessments. Perhaps 2026 will come to be seen as the year that models lost their primacy in climate policy advisory.

Claim 7: Global average heating above pre-industrial of 2C is not a smart ceiling to avoid, as many heat amplifiers would already be triggered before then. In the paper I did not focus on what I considered to be the mythical story that avoiding a 2C ceiling of heating might be safe and enable humanity to bring down temperatures. I regarded such discussions as much about giving space for professionals and policy makers to discuss incremental change. A few months after my paper, with the IPCC report on 1.5C, there was far wider support for the idea that 1.5C might be a lower ceiling for ‘safe’ climate change, by avoiding self-amplification. That began a global communications effort about staying below 1.5C, despite it being obvious to independent scholars, and to climatologists when speaking in private, that accelerating climate change already meant limiting it to below 1.5C was impossible. By 2022, some climatologists were already pointing to evidence that 1.5C would not be safe either.[26] There is already observational data on this matter, with one study analysing current impacts to conclude that past assessments of climate risk to ecosystems underestimated the biological consequences of warming.[27] That backs up early studies which explained how models underestimated the weather extremes and volatility that are relevant to damage to ecosystems (and agriculture).[28]

Claim 8: Emissions won’t come down so we won’t likely stay below 2C. My paper explained that modern societies, including transport and agriculture, are highly dependent on fossil fuels, so emissions were steadily increasing and scenarios for reductions were unrealistic. Despite my wishes for the salvation of society, humanity and biodiversity, as evidenced by my decades of prior work, I did not entertain magical thinking about a sudden achievement of (net) zero emissions globally. Eight years later, annual global fossil CO2 emissions are around 4% higher than in 2018. [29] Moreover, the rate at which CO2 is accumulating in the atmosphere increased, reaching a record 3.76 ppm per year in 2024, compared with 2.39 ppm in 2018.[30] Meanwhile, official assessments of government policies conclude that countries remain off track to meet their emissions targets.[31] Worse, a major study in 2025 found that emissions have been about 15% higher than that reported by countries.[32] Then we could review the political trends in various countries, and the various conflicts, with implications for climate action – which would be a whole other essay.

Claim 9: Impacts on agriculture are key and make this matter one of societal relevance, including peace and security. The most quoted part of the Deep Adaptation paper was when I departed from academic writing style and addressed the reader directly about how societal collapse can be frightening to experience. I explained that the impacts of climate change on agriculture could be severe and have knock on effects on crime, conflict and migration. At the time, the impacts on agriculture were not at the forefront of discussions on climate change, especially not in the society, where it was largely considered an issue for ecosystems and non-human animals. The AR5 report of the IPCC did give it some attention but assessed that crop yield losses exceeding 5% become more likely than not beyond 2050, and that risks to global food security would only become large at around 4°C of warming. Since then, the impacts on agriculture are more widely analysed and forecast to impact humanity hard by mid-century. One massive study estimated that each additional 1C of global warming reduces the global availability of calories from the crops they studied by approximately 120 calories per person per day. That is about 4.4% of average daily consumption per degree of warming, with the actual impacts being grossly unequally experienced.[33] That is a significant contributor to an assessment by a UK professional group of actuaries that there might be 4 billion fatalities if the world passes 3.0C by 2050. [34] My own further study on the topic in March 2023 explained the contribution of climate change to wider mechanics of food system breakdown.[35]

Claim 10: Countries will turn to carbon capture technologies that won’t make a significant impact and waste huge resources. In the paper I explained that capitalism would problematically shape future responses to climate change, just as it had shaped the problem, the diminishment of it, and the ineffective responses until that point. This approach was enshrined in global climate policy when the IPCC illogically included direct air capture and storage (DACCS) in its modelling of future scenarios in 2023 in AR6 – a magical techno wand to maintain the charade of a managed transition. A comprehensive review, synthesising more than 800 publications on the topic, concludes that DACCS remain constrained by high costs, substantial energy requirements, with any scaling dependent on long-term government subsidy and their impact being tiny compared to something climate-significant.[36] Clearly, PR and lobbying firms did their job, so Western governments have allocated huge subsidies to DACCS over the last few years, in what is another example of the existentially-treacherous role of corporations and their puppets in government.

Claim 11: Societal collapse is a reasonable expectation of the impacts from climate change, when interacting with other factors. When trying to tie everything together for understanding the situation, in the Deep Adaptation paper I wrote: “We do not know for certain how disruptive the impacts of climate change will be or where will be most affected, especially as economic and social systems will respond in complex ways. But the evidence is mounting that the impacts will be catastrophic to our livelihoods and the societies that we live within. Our norms of behaviour, that we call our “civilisation,” may also degrade.” I called for greater attention to adaptation to the changes, including going far deeper than the ideas for how to adapt at that time. I argued that it is irresponsible to regard that agenda as a theoretical defeat for the climate aware, as it concerns a reality we will live through. Years later, the need for urgent adaptation is now more widely discussed. Over 600 scholars from around the world joined me to sign a public “Scholars’ Warning on Societal Disruption and Collapse”.[37] There is now a diverse field of ‘collapsology’[38] and updates to past predictions of the collapse of our civilisation.[39] Over a hundred academic papers, across disciplines discuss aspects of Deep Adaptation as an impetus, ethos and/or framework.[40] However, the topic of societal collapse is not being discussed as an inevitability by establishment scientists and mainstream media. Instead, some climatologists and professional bodies are warning of the likelihood of mass death (as mentioned above) which would constitute collapse in some parts of the world. My own view on this has evolved, as I put the stressors from climate in the context of wider fractures in the foundations of modern industrial consumer societies.[41]

Claim 12: Near-term human extinction risk is something to take seriously as we assess priorities for action. In the paper I wrote: “Nothing is certain. But it is sobering that humanity has arrived at a situation of our own making where we now debate the strength of analyses of our near-term extinction.” I did not predict near-term extinction, regarding it as a possibility if nothing significant changed. At the time, this topic was either never mentioned, or actively dismissed, by establishment climatologists. Some even actively worked inside the environmental action group Extinction Rebellion so it would not talk about human extinction risk; nor about societal collapse. In recent years, some climatologists have moved on from that view and call for some of the worst-case scenarios to be analysed by science and incorporated into policy assessments.[42] A scientific assessment published in 2026 from some of the world’s most experienced climatologists reported that the world is warming so fast that we may be close to cascading feedback loops that eventually make it uninhabitable.[43]

Learning from past mistakes to improve scientific understanding and action on climate and environment

The concern that some people expressed when the Deep Adaptation paper became well known was my personal conclusion that the processes of climate change will lead us to societal collapse, inevitably, whatever the human response might be. As I’ve written elsewhere, a weakness in the paper was that I did not explain the mechanisms by which collapse would unfold. Therefore, I conducted a 2-year multi-disciplinary research project which concluded with the book Breaking Together. In that text I set out the evidence that can be interpreted as widespread societal collapse being an unfolding process rather than an inevitable future event.

In the Deep Adaptation paper, I had argued that we must try to reduce the speed and harm of that collapse, save lives and more of the biosphere, and increase the chances of future forms of society. Those arguments were disregarded by people who assumed that inevitable collapse would mean we would not try to reduce or drawdown emissions. I regard that as their projection, related to an understandable aversion to societal collapse, which then drove processes of denial that I had even mapped out in the second half of the paper. This reaction may be one reason why some scientists offered broad unspecific dismissals and major distortions of the paper’s claims on climatology. Claims which were correct at the time, and more demonstrably so today.

Fortunately, not everyone was distracted by the criticism. There was a huge response around the world, not just to the Deep Adaptation paper, but to more alarming interpretations of the situation with the world’s climate. People were radicalised, changed careers, and new groups started up to help advance an agenda of social change ahead of further disruption and collapse. That has included people quitting various jobs to go full time in Extinction Rebellion, boards deciding to reorient multimillion dollar foundations towards understanding collapse risk and readiness, an academic quitting and setting up MEER (Mirrors for Earth’s Energy Rebalancing), and launching international or national adaptation groups. We have not all agreed on the ideal responses, but we have all learned a lot over the past 8 years. With feedback, the Deep Adaptation framework for inquiring into how to respond has evolved to six guiding questions (the 6Rs). It is now complemented by a framework for our personal capabilities or orientations to cultivate in the face of collapse (the ‘reckon’ framework). More recently, a menu for how to begin to prepare for disruption and collapse in a light-hearted, collaborative and creative way is being used (‘rainbow prepping’).

Although my life is busy from working on such matters, I returned to reading climatology this year because there could be great benefit from the leaders and institutions in the sector recognising their mistakes in order not to make new ones on what is a matter of existential threat. Conducting scientific research on climate and the environment is essential, and I am grateful for the people who continue to do the science, especially as it can trigger such difficult emotions. I know how it can generate a general sense of dread and sadness, not confined to one’s working hours, as I have experienced that again over the last two months, while researching for this essay. For such effort and resources to be worth it, we need to discuss how to better gain insight from that scientific endeavour.

Why did the mainstream miss a dozen key insights on climate change at the time, yet someone analysing their research from the outside identified them? And why did many mainstream scientists feel confident enough about their incorrect readings of the situation to join the criticism of Deep Adaptation? Why did climate and environment journalists not report more critically on what was being concluded, or the implications for the public? These questions need more serious exploration. So before concluding this essay, I will offer a few thoughts on them.

It’s neither corruption and conspiracy, nor laziness and stupidity, that led to deficient understandings of the climate crisis by mainstream climatology and the environmental climate policy community. Nor is it merely the dynamics of denial that I described in the second half of the Deep Adaptation paper. Rather, it is a widely understood and documented phenomenon throughout the history of science, and fields of knowledge more broadly. Deficient understandings arise from the psychological and institutional dynamics that occur within any established field of scholarship. I discussed them in my book Breaking Together, and will briefly mention them here. There is a lot of scholarship on each area, so if you are interested, I recommend using DeepSeek to get started (10 times less energy and water usage than the AIs from Big Tech firms). Yes, I am not going to reference everything like I did earlier (normal life and less depressing activity are beckoning me back).

First, there is a siloed approach to scientific endeavour which can leave a lack of skill and support for scientists towards lateral thinking and salience identification. It is essential that scientific research asks “what we don’t know yet” within their specialist expertise. But that is not enough to assess what is most important to know now for assessments of risk and action. When engaged in research professionally then the aim, implicit or explicit, is always to do more research. However, as I mentioned at the start of this essay, if we analyse scientific research from outside a specific discipline, then our aim can be to assess what’s relevant for life on the basis of existing information. That’s been explored elsewhere as ‘post-normal science’.[44] The issue becomes whether one has the necessary time and right skills for such analysis. In my book, I explain the components of ‘critical wisdom’ which help one to do such analysis. Another way of describing it is to allow more possibility for integrative and context-aware cognitive processing, associated with the right hemisphere of the brain.[45]

A second area of psychological and institutional dynamics affecting knowledge production and dissemination are the habits associated with occupational closure, occupational expansion, and peer esteem. These are well discussed by sociological research on professions, the history of science, and disruptive innovation. Every field of work that professionalises must uphold agreed standards in ways that then lead to suspicion and negation of potential contributions from outside the profession. That standardising brings benefits but can also compound systemic biases and blind spots within a profession. In addition, any profession has a natural interest in its expansion, to generate more employment and career opportunities. That interest can lead management of institutions in such professions to focus on topics, approaches and narratives, that more easily generate funding, such as computer modelling and the associated idea of managing risk with technical adjustments to societies. On top of that, a normal desire for peer esteem, and to avoid peer disdain, acts as a form of self-policing, which isn’t conducive for open inquiry. I know how powerful these effects are, as I had to make the decision to deny the utility of much of my past work, my sub-discipline of academia, and be prepared to lose my job or resign.

A third factor influencing the field of climatology has been our culture of modernism, combined with an understandable concern about the effects of communicating alarming news to the public. We see that when nothing in the data of a scientist’s new study is positive, but they still include statements about it being not too late to avoid some unspecified outcome, if there is a magical change of everything. Giving homage to the secular God of positivity and progress is widely assumed to be the ‘permission slip’ for being respected. In private, the story is often different. Nine out of ten climatologists anonymously told a newspaper they did not believe humanity would manage to stay below 2C global warming. That was 17 years ago.[46] Despite working on sustainability, I did not hear about that for nearly a decade. In that time, like so many people, I worked incredibly hard (making personal sacrifices) on what some scientists were privately regarding as a redundant agenda. They were the experts paid to determine what is happening in our world but felt the need to self-censor their intuitive processing of the situation when communicating publicly.

A fourth factor has been the scientific deference and time-constraints of mainstream journalists, and the ideological blinkers of their editors. Even now that some famous climatologists are proven to have been incorrect by current observational data, they are still quoted for the truth on the climate situation. Journalists are grateful for obtaining a response and having some validation for their writing by including a famous name. When some journalists make the time to go deeper into a subject, they then need to get past the editors, who act as ideological police. One example is how one of NPR’s best journalists had her documentary on my work cancelled just the week before broadcast as “we can’t put that out”. There are many other examples, but to recap on either the attacks or suppression would be depressing.

Recognising that science always gains and loses something from institutionalisation doesn’t mean we just shrug our shoulders and move on. What is key, is that once observational data clearly disproves some established understandings and challenges the focus of scholarship, and the related policies, is that professionals seriously admit their mistakes. To seriously, not superficially, admit mistakes, involves: first, recognising the materiality of those mistakes to society; second, to be open to the possible causes of those mistakes; third, to make efforts to not make new mistakes in future that would derive from those causes. Therefore, simply correcting past mistakes is not enough, as it means the person might be making new ones due to the same dynamics. In the field of climatology, that means if a scientist says they predict a far greater amount of heating and damage by 2050, that is not good enough. To do so, without introspection and openness, on how to not make new mistakes, would display an unseriousness. That would not matter as much if we weren’t talking about something so existential for humanity. To encourage urgent learning, we must ask:

  • What might be the blind spots in climatology today, due to the various factors that shape and limit any institutionalised field of inquiry?
  • What topics are journalists not taking the time to explore and challenge, to bring focus on what’s important?

As you might have guessed, I have some ideas. The obvious one is that we need a focus on emergency adaptation. However, I have another idea, related to the causes of climate heating itself. I want to see climatologists and environmentalists look at whether carbon might only be half the story for explaining the most recent climate changes from human impacts. The only potential good news about the recent awful spikes in global temperatures is that they might not only be due to background warming from carbon gases. The clue is the rapid drop in the reflectivity of the planet, due to the loss of cloud cover, which is especially important over oceans, where the sunlight is mostly absorbed.[47] That points us towards what processes have been reducing cloud cover. It is why I have been advocating more attention to biohydrological cycles, as part of a more panecological approach to climate. In simple terms, we need to look at how to restore natural cloud seeding processes by large forests and healthy oceans, to increase the chances of the survival of societies in a scenario of climate chaos. When you next have some time to read my work, please read this essay on what I am talking about.[48]

Some people with an audience on climate and environment are beginning to change their public explanations. One of my past critics, from the research nonprofit Berkeley Earth, told Propublica that meeting goals to limit global warming has become “functionally impossible.”[49] A few famous environmentalists now state publicly that it is too late for stopping catastrophic change, despite telling those of us who said that before to “shut up”.[50] If more leading voices explore the dynamics that generated past mistakes, then new mistakes arising from the same dynamics could be avoided. Know someone who might be ready to move? To commit to learn more about what could be improved in climate science and its communication? Please send them this essay.

To be continued…

—

The Deep Adaptation paper is available here, including translations. I made minor corrections in 2020 which did not change any of the 12 claims listed above, nor remove other claims. Like so much on this matter, the content or implications of the update was misrepresented e.g. even now on Wikipedia.


[1] Climate-change–driven accelerated sea-level rise detected in the altimeter era | PNAS

[2] ‘Severe’ stress on oceans as rate of sea level rise doubles in 10 years, UN warns | Oceans | The Guardian

[3] Global Warming Has Accelerated: Are the United Nations and the Public Well-Informed?

[4] Global Warming Has Accelerated Significantly – 2026 – Geophysical Research Letters

[5] Climate Honesty – Ending Climate Brightsiding – YouTube

[6] The Dangers of Climate Dogma – and what we can do about it – Prof Jem Bendell

[7] Emerging climate impact on carbon sinks in a consolidated carbon budget | Nature

[8] Weakening of global terrestrial carbon sequestration capacity under increasing intensity of warm extremes | Nature Ecology & Evolution

[9] Unexpected decline in the ocean carbon sink under record-high sea surface temperatures in 2023 | Nature Climate Change

[10] Three decades of continuous warming in temperate forests destabilizes persistent forms of soil organic matter – ScienceDirect

[11] https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_Chapter12_FINAL.pdf

[12] Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points. – University of Exeter – Figshare

[13] Implications of overshoot for climate mitigation strategies | Nature Climate Change

[14] Earth’s net incoming energy-flux imbalance (and its implications for understanding climate change) | View | MPG.PuRe

[15] Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario | Nature Communications

[16] Global methane emissions rebounded in 2024 despite a deceleration in atmospheric growth | Nature Communications

[17] IPCC AR6 Working Group 1: Technical Summary | Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis

[18] Triple-isotopic analyses pinpoint microbial methane release from subsea permafrost in the inner Laptev Sea | Communications Earth & Environment

[19] Long-distance migration and venting of methane from the base of the hydrate stability zone | Nature Geoscience.

[20] ESD – Exploring climate stabilisation at different global warming levels in ACCESS-ESM-1.5

[21] Climate Honesty – are we ‘beyond catastrophe’? – Prof Jem Bendell

[22] New climate models predict a warming surge | Science | AAAS

[23] Climate simulations: recognize the ‘hot model’ problem | Nature

[24] Recent Temperature and Energy Imbalance Trends Point to Higher Estimates of Future Warming – Gyuleva – 2026 – Earth’s Future – Wiley Online Library

[25] ESD – Climate models with moderate climate sensitivity best simulate the magnitude of Earth’s energy imbalance

[26] Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points | Science

[27] Reassessment of the risks of climate change for terrestrial ecosystems | Nature Ecology & Evolution

[28] State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes | Nature Communications

[29] ESSD – Global Carbon Budget 2025

[30] Trends in CO2 – NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory

[31] Emissions Gap Report 2025 | UNEP – UN Environment Programme

[32] Worldwide inference of national methane emissions by inversion of satellite observations with UNFCCC prior estimates | Nature Communications

[33] Impacts of climate change on global agriculture accounting for adaptation | Nature

[34] Planetary Solvency – finding our balance with nature

[35] Beyond fed up: six hard trends that lead to food system breakdown – University of Cumbria Research Portal

[36] An ecosystem of carbon dioxide removal reviews – part 1: direct air CO2 capture and storage | Energy & Environmental Science | The Royal Society of Chemistry

[37] Initiative for Leadership and Sustainability: International Scholars Warning on Societal Disruption and Collapse

[38] Societal collapse: A literature review – ScienceDirect

[39] Update to limits to growth: Comparing the World3 model with empirical data – Herrington – 2021 – Journal of Industrial Ecology – Wiley Online Library

[40] +”Deep Adaptation” +climate – Google Scholar

[41] Breaking Together – The Schumacher Institute

[42] Climate Endgame: Exploring catastrophic climate change scenarios

[43] The risk of a hothouse Earth trajectory: One Earth

[44] Deep Adaptation: Navigating the Realities of Climate Chaos | Wiley

[45] The Master and His Emissary: The Divided Brain and the Making of the Western World by Iain McGilchrist | Goodreads

[46] World will not meet 2C warming target, climate change experts agree | Climate crisis | The Guardian

[47] Recent global temperature surge intensified by record-low planetary albedo | Science

[48] The Dangers of Climate Dogma – and what we can do about it – Prof Jem Bendell

[49] https://www.propublica.org/article/wedges-climate-research-bp-fossil-fuel-princeton

[50] ‘It’s too late’: David Suzuki says the fight against climate change is lost

Rainbow Prepping – a brighter way to get ready for collapse

Why read? Here’s a 4 minute chat about the essay.

The farcical nature of some prepping activities can make rather dark comedy. Let’s face it, not many of us are suited to archery or skinning a rabbit! That’s why the movie “We’re All Going To Die” is such an engaging watch (view at the end). At the movie premiere in Berlin, I mentioned that anyone who seriously engages in personal prepping for either disasters or broader societal collapse, soon realises they can’t do it alone. That is demonstrated well by a popular collapse-commentor, Jessica Wildfire, whose blog portrays a roller coaster of attempts at prepping, giving up and enjoying the moment, to ultimately regarding prepping as a necessarily ongoing aspect to modern life. Many people are joining that ride, with the prepping sector booming by selling items like 6 months of prepacked non-refrigerated food. Even some friends and family who haven’t read my work on collapse have begun storing essentials and watching videos on how they might cope better in disasters. So I thought it a useful time to systematise and share some thoughts about ‘prepping.’

Discussions and initiatives have evolved in some parts of the world towards ‘solidarity prepping’ in communities and even ‘insurgent planning’ to prepare for disasters. That arises from a more collaborative mindset, but it can involve some of the same underlying emotions. In my experience, whether focused on individual or collective prepping, a rather grim defensiveness can pervade discussion. That also applies to some national level conversations about adaptation. Although it is reasonable to frame the environmental situation in terms of national security, that can promote a defensive mindset, and one where action seems like a burden to be taken on by good and courageous persons. That can be a short step away from imagining such people need to impose upon the rest of us for our own good. It is a reaction which, from psychological theories, I predicted would arise amongst collapse-deniers when they finally ditched the idea that tech, education and better policy would transition societies, yet retained the subconscious craving for a story that might suppress their despair [ref 1]. 

As we cannot know whether the form and pace of collapse is fully set, or its full implications for humanity and life on Earth, we can attempt to increase the chances of a lesser catastrophe. Waking up to the predicament doesn’t mean giving up on doing anything. In a speech that will be ten years ago this November, I explained the Deep Adaptation perspective for the first time [ref 2]. Since then I have not seen the goal as being to maximize the odds of individual survival. Nor is the goal about increasing the odds of community or national survival. Rather, I have been inviting attention to increasing the likelihood that we live kindly and cooperatively amid disruption, in ways that create possibilities for both humans and wider life, without any certainty. For the millions of people for whom that idea resonated, it has endorsed a shift from distraction to reflection, from stockpiling to capabilities, and from defence to relationships.  

Over the years most of the leading volunteers in the Deep Adaptation movement didn’t focus on physical preparedness, with some local initiatives being exceptions. Efforts at relocalising economies and spreading soft skills for getting along with each other in stressful times have often been talked about. My own response was to change jobs and country, connect people on this topic, start an organic farm school, share more of my analysis on collapse, and throw myself into devotional music. It’s been quite a ride, and I’ve evolved a lot, but I don’t feel particularly well prepared as a result. Now I realise there could be more discussion of positive approaches to prepping within the Deep Adaptation movement. It is why prepping will be the topic of the next salon of the Metacrisis Initiative. 

To help discussions and initiatives around prepping to be more generative, I’ve developed a list of action areas for real preparedness for societal disruption and collapse. It is a synthesis from a range of sources, which I’ll mention later. I am calling this a list for ‘rainbow prepping’. Perhaps it’s obvious why: when we see a rainbow after a period of rain, it is not only an impressive sight, but indicates a brighter time is coming after a storm. In the Abrahamic story of Noah, after the great flood, we read that God showed a rainbow as a promise to never again destroy the world with water. For me, seeing a rainbow is always a reconnection with my wonder at, and gratitude for, being alive and able to experience beauty. I’ve recently learned that in many cultures, across eras, the rainbow symbolised a connection between the earthly and divine. It represented a bridge between worlds in ancient Norse, Greek, Buddhist, Hawaiian and Japanese myths — perhaps many more. Contemporary usage expresses the beauty of diversity in areas where prejudice is sadly rife. I wish to honour all of that in my use of the term for how we prepare for collapse. 

I recommend we treat the following action areas more like a ‘play list’ than a ‘to do’ list. By that, I mean we can ask ourselves what we are attracted to explore more. My aim is to help avoid the heaviness and anxiety of seeking to survive, and to encourage the people we engage with on preparedness to relate in that way. The fifteen action areas are sequenced for the mnemonic, not in order of their importance:

Residence resilience / Amusement sustainability / Income diversification / Neighbourhood involvement / Business localisation / Orthobiotic living / Water and food security / Practical skill acquisition / Relocation readiness / Ecological stewardship / Psychological wholeness / Political engagement / Information and interaction sovereignty / Needs simplification / Gumption promotion

Residence resilience

Whether you own or rent, think about long-term resilience, in all its dimensions. Firstly, consider whether your location will remain viable under climate, economic and political stresses. Consider improvements in passive heating and cooling, as well as multiple options for additional temperature moderation. Look into reducing potential damage from storms, fires, and floods, including initiatives in your neighbourhood. Have backup lighting, micro-solar charging, safe fuel storage, and a way to cook without electricity. Consider being involved in neighbourhood watch schemes and, if relevant, volunteer fire response teams. Get to know your local police. If possible, adapt your residence to be able to welcome people in need, overnight. If home is where the heart is, it’s time to manifest more of your views and values in your living space.

Amusement sustainability 

You don’t stop wanting to enjoy life just because there’s stuff happening that you don’t enjoy. Now you can reduce your dependence on industrial systems for the ways you enjoy yourself, so that continues even when those systems become unaffordable to you, or disappear. Non-amplified live music, circle dancing, storytelling, poetry reading, potluck meals, offline games, improvisational theatre, drawing, painting, and more. Fun activities can calm nerves and open hearts. So they are not a luxury – they are part of your resilience. Put down your phones. It’s time to unplug your play. 

Income diversification

When you rely on one main source of income, from work or investments, you are more at risk of economic disruption, and more easily silenced. You can assess how to do more work that will remain valuable as the formal economy contracts. Some of that might include the practical skills that I will list later. What we receive from others, and from the environment, is not only through monetary exchange. Growing things, swapping, and sharing, can all be part of income diversity. Could you reduce your outgoings and channel more of your income, or time saved, into that diversity, as well as other aspects of ‘rainbow prepping’? Multiple means of accessing your money is also part of this consideration, which suggests having more than one bank account, a crypto account, and securely storing some cash and precious metals at home.

Neighbourhood involvement

Strong social bonds can be more important than individual preparedness. Know your neighbours, join local initiatives, practise mutual aid, actively resolve conflicts, and generally become someone who contributes to your community. Schools, libraries, religious groups, cooperatives, and volunteer organisations might welcome your help. Explore ways of participating which you might enjoy. Then encourage more understanding within local institutions of the need for local leadership on preparedness for disruptions of various kinds. Promote initiatives for caring for people locally who need support but can’t pay for it and, soon, might not obtain it from the government. Trust is one of the most valuable forms of wealth during disruption, whereas the decline of trust in neighbours is an aspect of collapse itself: don’t be part of that collapse. 

Business localisation

As part of shifting the emphasis of resilience from individuals to communities, we need to produce and buy as much locally as we can. Although various products and services are not suitable for local production, many are. For not being part of a globalised financial system, you can favour cooperative enterprises. You could join initiatives like time banks, tool and equipment sharing systems, savings clubs, and commitment pooling. If you are approaching retirement, consider how you can invest in local organisations in ways that might also generate a passive income if your savings and pensions disappear. Unless a community is knitting itself together economically, it’s only ‘cosplaying’ community, and won’t help during real difficulties. This agenda can also become part of your approach to national and international solidarity – promoting this approach everywhere.

Orthobiotic living

Our health is foundational, yet medical products and systems will become less available, affordable and reliable. Orthobiosis comes from two Greek words: orthos (correct) and bios (life). It is a fancy way of saying that “right living” is when we seek wellness by cooperating with nature rather than fighting it. That includes attention to mobility, cardiovascular fitness, deep rest, sleep, metabolic health, nutrition, gut health, disease vigilance, and complementary therapeutics, including herbs. Maybe you need to adjust priorities in life to release time and money for orthobiosis? Start with what you enjoy. Then get better at how to help the injured, whether yourself or others. Get a home medical kit, learn first aid, and keep spare spectacles (if you need them). Slowing your own physical decline will be good for everyone — it helps to be well to help well.

Water and food security

Without the basics, much of the efforts at preparedness in your household and neighbourhood will fall apart. So assess the vulnerabilities of the supplies you most rely on – drinking water and fresh food – with the aim of making those more secure. It is unlikely this involves self-sufficiency. Instead, participate in or support local efforts at food growing, help some local farmers, know local edibles,and learn food preservation. Then engage the relevant organisations that provide food and water at scale, to encourage their preparedness. Recognising the importance of the security of these essentials will mean attention to physical security, which takes us back to the matters of residence resilience and neighbourhood involvement. Yes, you might need to get political, and we will come to that.

Practical skills 

As the era of cheap replacements and spare cash ends for many of us, practical skills become as valuable as possessions or money. If you ever had an interest in one of the following, now is a good time to learn: carpentry, plumbing, electrics, sewing, bicycle maintenance, fermentation, bee keeping, fire making, fire fighting, massage, holistic therapies, conflict resolution, group facilitation and non-violent self defence. Adopt an attitude of repair, towards clothing, electronics, furniture and appliances. Are you someone others will want on their team? 

Relocation readiness

Unfortunately, many people need to move when faced with disruption. You can become better prepared to evacuate ahead of events such as fires, storms, floods, and military action. Longer term trends can also push a decision to move, such as the cost of living, crime rates, cultural regression, and political repression. Have clear thresholds for deciding when to leave, agreeing with family before a crisis hits. Transport plans, financial reserves, and payment options are important. Emergency international travel also benefits from planning: how well do you know where you would relocate to abroad, are your travel documents up-to-date, and how would you cope if capital controls were applied? Ensure you have multiple physical and digital copies of the various documents required for the administration of your affairs. It could also be useful and fun to maintain relationships with some friends elsewhere in the world. 

Ecological stewardship 

Whatever happens, the environment remains our source of life and our venue for choosing care over violence. You can reduce and resist both pollution and habitat destruction. You can support the regeneration of habitats, including reforestation, watershed restoration, soil regeneration, and help for pollinators. You can reduce and resist human cruelty to animals. You can joyfully refresh and share your wonder at being part of creation. You can do all of this locally, regionally and remotely, both practically and politically, without attachment to outcomes in unpredictably complex living systems.

Psychological wholeness

Anticipating, and living through, societal disruptions and losses, can trigger difficult emotions. We want to avoid making matters worse by our reactions and, better still, express ourselves positively because of the circumstances. Some ideas about life, as well as specific practices, can help you become more comfortable with uncertainty, change, and loss. Consider meditation, prayer, singing, time in nature, journaling, and community service. Make time to consider your values, and any meaning(s) and purpose(s) for your life. Also make time to have your own relationship with infinitude, which might, or might not, involve your sense of the divine and spiritual. Look for relevant groups, or set one up, to support such wholeness within a community.

Political engagement

You can choose to advance, not retreat, politically, due to your awareness of societal disruption and collapse. You can try to influence how politicians and officials realise the levels of destruction, the causes, and how to prepare for, and respond to, specific disruptions and breakdowns. You can engage in local government and national politics, to seek more policies that align with ‘rainbow prepping’ activities. You can participate in civil society groups, including religions and trade unions, to advance that agenda. Look out for novel political activities like people’s assemblies. It is worth remembering that, due to their use of force and massive budgets, little else will have an impact if governments become aggressive on behalf of agendas emerging from deluded or panicked elites. Engaging in politics doesn’t mean assuming collapse can be prevented, but attempting to reduce unnecessary suffering.

Information and Interaction sovereignty

Finding the information you need and interacting with the people and businesses you want to are both essential for coping with disruptions; both functions are highly fragile, due to modern technological dependence. Take steps to maintain your ability to communicate even if cut off (by a hack, physical disruption, or political action). Don’t rely on one global email account and one phone number for all your online access. Don’t rely on phones and cards for all payments. Keep physical records of phone numbers and addresses. Download maps and key files, and install a local version of an open source AI system on your computer. Maintain old landlines. Own micro-solar to recharge devices. In the meantime, don’t let either BigTech algorithms or mainstream media determine your information diet – actively seek out independent professional media sources.

Needs simplification

So much of what we are accustomed to is not necessary for our quality of life. So gradually reduce dependence on stuff and services you pay for. See how you can live comfortably with less energy, fewer new possessions, fewer trips in private vehicles, and a less complex non-seasonal diet. Go deeper into how you can benefit from a non-aquisitional mindset, where you need less certainty, control, savings, connections, contacts, and even less self-advancement. Notice any attachment you might have to the idea of having more children, or prolonging your own life for as long as possible. Become open to self-acceptance as the ultimate self-actualisation. None of this simplification needs to reduce your yearning for more equity and social justice. Change is easier when chosen rather than imposed.

Gumption promotion

In rapidly changing situations where we don’t have a standard answer or routine to follow, we will benefit from people around us being able to decide what is the best thing to do in a particular situation, and then do it with capacity and determination. That is ‘gumption’, and our educational and cultural systems have tended to reduce, not improve, it. In education that is formal or informal, for children or adults, there are opportunities for teaching more practical skills and approaches to, for instance, orthobiotic living, psychological wholeness, and amusement sustainability. Part of gumption is the critical thinking to avoid being manipulated into fear-driven herd behaviour or, in some cases, cults. Helping knowledge transfer between generations can be part of that. A good way to maintain and grow one’s own gumption is to try to help others with theirs. The impact is obvious: someone who trains ten people may contribute more than someone who stores ten months of food.

It took me almost as long to work out how to order these action areas into the ‘rainbow prepping’ mnemonic as it did to identify them. Hopefully, that will help more than myself for remembering them! The categorisation is a bit arbitrary. Perhaps you already noticed not only some overlap, but that actions in the different areas could reinforce one another. Good health helps you contribute to the community. Community improves food security. Live music and singing strengthens relationships. Practical skills support livelihoods. A sense of meaning and purpose can make hardship more bearable. I think this more positive approach to prepping aligns closely with the ethos of Deep Adaptation: preparing not simply to endure disruption, but to help create communities where people continue to experience care, dignity, creativity and even joy as industrial consumer society becomes less dependable. So I regard this list of fifteen action areas as a complement to the existing framework for Deep Adaptation: that comprises six Rs for inquiry into how to begin to respond to an awareness of collapse, and six qualities or orientations to recognise and cultivate in ourselves as we live into more challenging situations. 

Since sharing this ethos in public, nearly 10 years ago, I felt reluctant to describe what we should do, as collapse affects everything in life and responses need to be developed locally and personally. That reluctance was also because I wondered whether a rapid focus on action might avoid the time needed to process the pain of realisation and allow it to transform us at a deeper level. However, as we enter the age of consequences and the discussion on societal collapse spreads, I am pleased to make this contribution to identifying what we could still be doing to help. 

The ideas for the fifteen action areas I have listed in this essay arose from three sources. First, my own assessment of how to prepare. Second, what I’ve learned from people who have been preparing in their own ways. Third, what I have learned is being done around the world by the chroniclers of resilience and adaptation, including the Transition Network, degrowth scholars, Earth Regenerators, Global Ecovillage Network, Local Futures, Global Action Plan UK, and various Deep Adaptation initiatives around the world. With this framework I am re-packing a diverse field of endeavour into something that is, I hope, relatable and memorable for you whenever discussing collapse risk and readiness with people. I have benefitted from the process, as it now leaves me with the clarity that I happily prep for the rainbows I will never see, while enjoying those I do.  

The ‘rainbow prepping’ concept inspired the cover of the German version of Breaking Together. The book is a free download for the duration of Kollapscamp 2026. I hope it helps initiate a translation-review team so we can get a better version out as paperback and audio in due course, with a progressive local publisher. Also until the end of August, there is a 25% reduction on the paperback in English, but only via Amazon (it returns to $22 in September). 

Within the peer mentoring of the Metacrisis Initiative we will use the ‘rainbow prepping’ list of action areas as a means of self assessment, personal reprioritising, and commitment making. You might benefit from asking yourself: in which domains of ‘rainbow prepping’ would I like to play some more?

Later this year, I’ll share some of my own stumbling, humbling, and positive experiences of ‘rainbow prepping’ via my Instagram and Youtube (subscribe to either to be informed). If you are not part of the Metacrisis Initiative and would like to chat about this topic then the Deep Adaptation group on Facebook is one place to start… but don’t get stuck there (remembering your information and interaction sovereignty!).

Stream: We’re All Going To Die – A mostly funny documentary 

Refs: 

1] Psychological insights on discussing societal disruption and collapse | Ata: Journal of Psychotherapy Aotearoa New Zealand  

2] Engaging the Climate Tragedy – Prof Jem Bendell. Lecture given November 29th 2016, at Griffith University, Brisbane, Australia. 

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Then catch me elsewhere…

Could there be some beauty in collapse?

Although many people are breaking apart into self-righteous factions, many people have been breaking together, whereby they allow the upsetting situation to break down their old habits, so that they become more open-hearted and open-minded in how they live their life, including the way they relate to other people. As a result, they are dramatically changing their lives to prioritise creativity and social contribution. They are worrying less about their career, their financial security or following the latest trend. They are helping those in need, growing food, making music, campaigning for change and exploring spiritual paths. That is happening because they have rejected the establishment’s view of reality and no longer expect its officers to solve any of the worsening problems in their society. After decades of greed, hypocrisy, lies, corruption and stupid policies, they are no longer waiting for any elites to rescue the planet. As they let go of false hopes that they will be saved, they can move through grief and begin living creatively again, with an awareness of how every day is a blessing. This doesn’t mean they don’t grieve, worry or feel sad and angry, but that their feelings of wonder and gratitude about life don’t immediately trigger those other difficult emotions or keep them stuck there. Instead, they are living life more fully, according to what they value. It is precisely because these people regard modern societies to be breaking down that they are living more freely. They need neither an underground bunker nor a fairy tale of a better tomorrow as they live, today, for truth, love and beauty. Who are they? I call them doomsters. I am one of them. Perhaps you are, too?

If so, welcome. There are many ways to live differently from now on, as seen in Chapter 10 of Breaking Together. (This text is a reproduction of the closing pages of that book, released 3 years ago). Any change in our way of life doesn’t need to happen all at once. In my case, I think I was emotionally knocked down onto a metaphorical canvas and took years to fully stand again. The general ethos and approach to dialogue that is described by the phrase ‘deep adaptation’ was key for my own process—and I still recommend people engage in networks that use that framework for mutual support. But some years later I arrived at a far less inward-looking orientation. I am certain we cannot wait for the storm to pass or seek to skirt around its edges—we must learn to dance in the rain. (That led me to update the Deep Adaptation framework this year).

That dance does not need to become a rave. Modern culture indoctrinates us to admire largesse and express grand aims about changing the world. Instead, we can reclaim our freedom to be small in our desires for impact, in our communities and local environments. Unfortunately, our ability to dance our own little shimmies of freedom and social contribution is under threat… I wrote Breaking Together for people who are ready to connect their work to a broader ‘ecolibertarian project’ of a great reclamation of power of all kinds and at all levels. Together, we might become a more significant force for positive social change in this era of societal collapse. We are a peoples’ environmentalism in contrast to the agenda emerging from corporate domination. Together, we might elaborate a policy agenda at all levels of governance from the local to global, to counter the agendas of those I describe as ‘fake green globalists’.

If you take on board the arguments in Breaking Together (summarised for you here) it will be like taking a green pill . Swallowing the ‘green pill’ opens your eyes to how the modern money system is a death matrix that shapes our lives, so we collectively destroy the living world. The greenness of the pill describes both our waking to the living world and the role of the money-power in its destruction. But there is another aspect to this opening of our eyes. “Our whole culture, our whole civilisation, in so far as it is involved in time and living only for a future, is nuts, it’s not all here. We are not awake, we are not completely alive now.” Those were the wise words of contemporary psymusic voiceover artist Alan Watts, who, before he died, was a teacher of Eastern spiritualities in the West.[i] E.F. Schumacher thought similarly, and suggested that “the life and death problems of industrial society… [lie] in the heart and soul of every one of us.” The ‘evotopian’ vision I have floated in this book is of a world where dominant systems don’t restrict us so much from being able to experience ourselves, each other and nature. It is a vision where many more of us are not prevented from opening our hearts and minds to each-other and nature. It is a world where more of us would feel safe enough and free enough to care for ourselves, each other and nature. Helping to promote that in our own lives is one great beauty found within the pain of collapse. “Let us truly live the beauty and responsibility of being a prophetic people,” said Bishop Oscar Romero, before being murdered by those working with US imperialists. This kind of work is not for the wishy washy…

Dancing long into the night will involve a lot more than being convinced about the science on our predicament or eloquent about its implications. It will require a commitment that comes from a depth of faith in the eternal rightness of living from universal love. Because unfolding collapse will be more of an ugly process than a beautiful one. No sugar-coating of our predicament is possible. We messed up, in the biggest possible way a species could mess up. Let alone an intelligent one. By ‘we’ I mean the modern human, with our irrational stories of self and reality. So, I can’t leave you with an upbeat ending about our ‘salvation’. Probably only deeper faith can sustain us in the years ahead. It’s where we sense the infinite powers of creation and the ultimate rightness of reality, whatever may come to pass. Human extinction? Don’t worry, it’s not the end of the world! But what strange times we are in that such jokes can be told (not that I think near-term human extinction is inevitable (please check out Chapters 3, 4 and 5 in Breaking Together))…

I am keenly aware that the youth of the world could be better helped to organise around these issues. One way that older people can help is simply by stopping gaslighting the young. Instead, we can help validate what many young people sense about their future and encourage them to discuss and experiment with creative ways of responding. One simple idea for how to encourage them came to me on Christmas Day. My Dad knew it was the last Christmas that we would have together, so his parting gift was a t-shirt with the following emblazoned across the front:

“I’m not arguing, I’m just explaining why I’m right.” Since then, I have felt a strange pride about my feeling of embarrassment as people I walk past on the street look at my t-shirt. I will be making some t-shirts in his honour, to give them to the young people I know, to help spark their conversations. I think the first one might say:

“Doomsters have more fun.” Because, why the heck shouldn’t young people have fun by living free of the habits of the stupidly self-destructive society we have left crumbling around them?

Nevertheless, I hope future generations may remember that we weren’t all so dumb. In that spirit of recognising our elders, I will close with the words E.F Schumacher used to close his own book, fifty years before I wrote this one: “Everywhere people ask: ‘what can I actually do?’ The answer is as simple as it is disconcerting: we can, each of us, put our inner house in order. The guidance we need for this work cannot be found in science or technology, the value of which utterly depends on the ends they serve; but it can still be found in the traditional wisdom of mankind.”[ii]

The previous text was taken from the closing of Breaking Together, published 3 years ago. Most of the book is available as a free audiobook.

The author was interviewed recently about the book by the hosts of Collapse Life (see video).

In the August 2026 salon of the Metacrisis Initiative we discuss the spiritual invitation and response to metacrisis and collapse with Reverend Stephen Wright. If you are a member of the initiative, then there is no need to register: just see the details and video link below, which will appear if you are logged in. If you can’t see it but are already a member, then use the email associated with your paid membership to request a password reminder, or a log in link, to your inbox. Any problems: use the contact form for this site and we will fix things for you.

You can learn about Reverend Stephen Wright from some my previous essays:

Deep Spirituality in an Era of Collapse – by Stephen Wright

They Weren’t 10 Commandments – on a dialogue between Stephen Wright and Jem Bendell

Heartfullness: The Way of Contemplation – review of book from Stephen Wright by Prof Jem Bendell

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[i] Yes, I am jesting here. I first read a book from Alan Watts in 2002 but it didn’t quite reach me as much as his ideas do now, after I’ve been sufficiently wounded by life. I recommend this video on this his and work: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T6lRcGxH-Mc

[ii] Schumacher, E. F. (1973). Small is Beautiful. Blond & Briggs. https://archive.org/details/small-is-beautiful-1973-e.-f.-schumacher/page/n221/mode/2up

Studying past civilizational contraction could feed imagination on managed descent

Five years ago, the edited collection on Deep Adaptation, from Polity Press, explored the implications of collapse anticipation for a variety of intellectual fields, from climatology to psychology, and from education to politics. One area that editors Rupert Read and I did not include was archaeology, particularly insights from the collapse of past civilisations. As the topic of societal decline and collapse has grown in the public conversation over recent years, so has curiosity about past civilisations. Therefore Rupert and I teamed up again to review the relevant scholarship, and how it might help inspire and inform conversations today about how to respond to societies that appear to be breaking down, or are about to. You can read the full article on Resilience, and then join the first open salon of the Metacrisis Initiative. On July 7th you can join us online as we discuss ideas for positive collective action, beyond the pretence that the current socio-economic systems can continue. We will be joined by Helena Norberg-Hodge and other guest experts. Below is a summary of the article.

Summary of “Inspirational Collapses”.

In their article, Professors Jem Bendell and Rupert Read argue that discussions of the relevance of ancient collapses for understanding our current predicament must now evolve from simplistic warnings. They see an enhanced role for historians and archaeologists: helping the public to reflect on how past civilizations softened collapse, by intentionally adapting to contraction, and transforming aspects of life, while maintaining some social coherence.

The authors argue this could help an essential expansion of our imagination beyond two dominant narratives: perpetual progress (the impossible assumption of endless growth) and defensive nostalgia (attempts to fortify power and return to mythologized pasts). What is missing are narratives of intentional contraction, adaptive simplification, and dignified loss. They discuss the concept of “thrutopia”— where visions combine optimism of the will with pessimism of the intellect, grounded in a more honest acknowledgment of both tragedy and opportunity.

Bendell and Read offer three historical examples for reflection: the Byzantine Empire after the 7th century, which voluntarily reorganized and localized; the Mayan civilisation, which appears to have experienced urban-rural migration and re-localization rather than outright failure; and Post-Roman Britain, where new forms of social organization and local resilience emerged in the context of collapse of dominant systems. Common themes include scale-reduction, cultural portability, and elite loss with popular survival.

They point to some existing scholarship in the field but argue it needs greater attention and an explicit acknowledgement of a role for prompting social dialogue on the current predicament. The authors encourage readers to approach societal disruption and descent with courage, care, and creativity, rather than denial, defence, or violence. They invite readers to a free open salon.

Note to members of the Metacrisis Initiative: this salon is with a different time and format to the usual monthly meetings. It occurs on a Tuesday and is not suited for all time zones. It will involve a panel and Q&A. The normal salons return in August.

Women’s leadership and ecofeminism in the metacrisis

“Our Mother Earth Says Me Too!”

“Our Mother Earth Says Me Too!”

It was a gorgeous but disturbingly warm day in London, seven years ago. I was inviting the crowd to chant with me, as I gave the opening speech of the international rebellion, in Oxford Circus. In the two weeks after April 15th, 2019, the campaign group Extinction Rebellion forced greater attention to how rapid climate change threatens our way of life, not just that of the polar bears. The #MeToo movement was in the news at the time, with people challenging defeatist attitudes on sexual harrassment and sexual violence. Seeing violence towards the environment as arising from the same heartless habits that harm women and girls, I wanted to make the connection in my speech. I also knew that many women were taking leading roles in the new wave of civil disobedience on climate ignorance. I wanted to make the big picture of how we collectively violate the Earth to be felt as something that is also expressed in our interpersonal relations. 

“Today and this week, we will have the honour of seeing mothers and grandmothers putting their bodies on the line for the defence of Life itself. For the defence of your children. So I see the women protesting today as our elders. They are here for you. They are here for me. They are here for all of us. So to our police, I say, when you lay a hand on mothers and grandmothers you will not just be doing your job. It will be your personal decision to participate today, in a process of oppressing women and their wisdom that reaches back thousands of years. An oppression that is at the root of our crisis today. All of us, including the police, can remove ourselves from that chain of destruction. We can refrain from that act of uninvited touch. So I ask you to listen to the loving call of nature in your own hearts. And you might hear that Our Mother Earth Says Me Too.”

After the speech, one of the organisers joked that “the ecofeminists probably had an orgasm.” She was referring to people who regard the same hierarchical, paternalistic and dualistic thinking that enables the domination of women as also enabling environmental destruction. A core idea of ecofeminism is that Western ideology has associated women with nature and men with culture in a way which devalues both women and nature. You’ll know the stereotypes, where body, emotion, and intuition are associated with women and mind, reason, and civilization are associated with men. Whatever the biologically or sociologically shaped tendencies within women and men on such matters, regarding some qualities associated with the masculine gender as requiring prioritisation, is a root cause of both sexism and environmental destruction. In short, ecofeminism perceives that we cannot slow down the ecological crisis without addressing gender inequality, and vice versa. 

The destruction being led by toxic masculine individuals on both the world stage and in bigtech is no surprise to ecofeminists, and seems to add weight to that worldview. The awesome work of women in responding to ecological and social malaise is also a pointer towards the relevance of a gender lens on the era of ‘metacrisis’ that humanity has clearly entered. Last year, a surge in environmental leadership by women’s organisations was described by Inside Climate News. It reported on the group Amazonian Women Defenders of the Rainforest, in Ecuador. They resist oil and mineral extraction on their ancestral lands, which has brought pollution, violence, and sexual exploitation. Their tactics include organizing protests, physical forest monitoring, legal action (such as winning a landmark case at the Inter-American Court of Human Rights), reforestation projects, and building Indigenous-led businesses. There are many other examples of women’s organisations being on the front line in challenging destruction. Sadly, much of that now involves challenging the mining activities of companies that are being supported by professional ‘environmentalists’ who prioritise electrifying everything over a smart, holistic, fair and accountable green agenda: AKA most ‘environmentalists’ you and I know today (see the ‘fake green fairytale’). 

As the effects of accelerating climate change kick in, many women are leading the response in communities. A new film profiles some of that women’s leadership, called ‘Emergence: women in the storm’. I recommend the trailer alone, for its gobsmackingly inspiring string of statements from women who are doing what’s best in a bad situation. It reminded me that when the Deep Adaptation movement was taking off in 2019, I wanted to draw attention to the ideas and initiatives of women on environmental and social issues, so I hosted many Q&As with women leaders. Simona Vaitkute reviewed some of the crosscutting themes from those conversations. One theme she identified was that our environmental imagination needs to move beyond technological fixes and lifestyle changes. Instead, mainstream environmental movements need to drop the “progress story” of managerial salvation. In the place of such failing hubris, we could learn more from communities who have endured oppression and loss – including Indigenous peoples and those in the Global South already suffering climate impacts. The consistent message from the women I interviewed was not to focus on anger or blame, but on healing, including the recovery from a fictional “story of separation” between the Earth, each other, and ourselves. Those women told us of a path forward that involves vulnerability, reconnecting with intuition, and a place for inclusive rituals of healing. 

Those themes were important to two of my friends, who were important women leaders on environmental change and justice and passed away last year. One was Joanna Macy. After she discovered my work on Deep Adaptation, she and I chatted with some fellow travellers, online, once a month for over a year. I had used Joanna’s workshop guidance for years previously, to help people viscerally sense that we are part of a web of life, rather than atop a pyramid of domination. As the Deep Adaptation framework and networks took off, I realised her methods for how we honour and express our difficult emotions about the state of the world would be key. She reminded us that our pain is a result of our love. It was an invitation to escape the dishonest and toxic optimism that the culture of patriarchy promotes, especially in our professional relations.  

I remember when I visited Joanna in her house in Berkeley that there was a wall crammed top to bottom with pictures of all her family and friends. As I looked at it, I immediately had the voice of Ram Das in my mind. A famous American spiritual teacher, associated with the New Age, he once joked that he sometimes fell back into being the lecherous Dick Alpert, and would ask a fan he fancied: “would you like to come up and see my spiritual pictures?” As I looked at Joanna’s wall of love, I thought these were her spiritual pictures. An embodied spirituality, without a separation between life and the divine, is one that does not rely on images of Gods or Gurus. 

Joanna lived into her 90s, but sadly Stella Nyambura Mbau left us much younger. Previously a youth climate activist, she had become a lecturer in Kenya, and worked on the Agroforestry Regeneration Communities initiative. I enjoyed working with Stella, including presentations at COP27 in Egypt. In her quiet voice, she didn’t flinch from a damning critique of the mainstream agenda on agriculture (here and here). She helped me understand how that self-appointed expert on all things, Bill Gates, had rather dumb ideas on how to improve the resilience of farms and farming communities in the face of rapid climate change. The analysis reminded me of one most coherent voices against ‘Gatesian’ managerialist approaches to society — the ecofeminist Vandana Shiva. Over the years, I was pleased to help Stella get her views published for an international audience, even if only in the niche publication Resilience. 

When discussing these issues, the term “patriarchy” comes up. I need to keep reminding myself that most people think it simply means ‘rule by men’ and that a critique of it means blaming men for all of humanity’s ills. So, the academic in me wants to pause and define terms. For me, and most people who use the term as a useful one for understanding our situation, the term ‘patriarchy’ describes a cultural system that advances characteristics and values that are regarded as masculine, subordinating those regarded as more feminine. That enables societal systems where men typically exert more power, in areas including political leadership, moral authority, social privilege, the control of property, and the value of work. These systems are produced by both men and women, although with differing agency, and can oppress people of any gender, sometimes compounding other unequal hierarchies of identity. The term ‘feminist’ is also widely misunderstood as something only describing women who focus on women’s issues, rather than referring to any of us who recognise that unequal power relations between genders goes against our core values of human dignity, freedom, and self-actualisation. 

Not all women who we might recognise as ecofeminists choose that description for themselves. Any term can ‘pigeon hole’ people, as much as convene them. My own misunderstanding that feminist analysis could only be about women held me back for years from exploring the resonance between my critiques of research methodologies and those made by feminist scholars. When, far later in my career, a committee blocked my institutions’ participation in a ‘women’s leadership’ research consortium, as they regarded it as ‘off topic’ to sustainability, I was reminded that patriarchal ‘pigeon holing’ of the feminine as  niche and marginal remains widespread, and with major implications for resources and attention. I mention that past experience as what’s key today is that we recognise that women leaders can be leaders for all of us, and that feminist critiques in general can be holistic agendas for all of us. 

Ecofeminist inspiration for living in the metacrisis

I think ours is a moment to be bolder in exploring what ecofeminist-related philosophies could help us to see and imagine during the myriad disruptions and breakdowns ahead. Could we better respect, revere, and remunerate, the roles of caring, of nurturing in the home, of dialoguing in our neighbourhoods, and of stewarding the commons? Could we escape, through serious economic redesign, the requirement of transactional value for so much of the paid labour in our societies? Could we have confidently relaxed attitudes about gender identities so that no one feels compelled to fit into a simple binary, whether by behaviour or biological modification? Could we develop healthy masculine identities, rather than merely complain or resist the toxic forms, or swap out more men for women in senior roles? Could we even identify what we like from within the system of patriarchy, if separated from its ills?

Speaking of a bolder agenda for ecofeminism in this age of consequences, one of the founder members of Extinction Rebellion, Skeena Rathor, mentioned to me the idea of ‘rematriation’. The concept arises from the insights and demands of Indigenous women leaders, as they seek to defend or regain stewardship of their lands and space for their cultures. Some think it could become a broader agenda for modern cultures that have lost their connection to the landscapes that hold them and nourish them today. I am hopeful that by introducing ‘Regeneration’ as a 6th R into the Deep Adaptation framework for reflection and dialogue, I am better recognising the way many people are acting on their collapse awareness. I hear that they are nurturing life in various ways, through their love of life rather than belief in a theory of what might ‘save the world’. I am happy to be asking myself and others: how are we nurturing life?

What the Indigenous elders who Skeena is working with are pointing to is a deeper spiritual subjugation that has been occurring through patriarchal cultures. Over millennia, religious institutions increasingly regarded the living world as less intrinsically valuable than a separate divine entity or realm, which humans could seek to ascend to or reunite with. This deep and subtle alienation with the natural world around us, and not experiencing our own bodies as part of that wondrous nature, is a core revelation from Indigenous teachings. But it is also one revealed in some of the ancient religious texts that were rejected by the Roman Empire when codifying Christian belief. One such text, The Gospel of Mary, spoke about a spirituality centred on inner awakening, unity, and direct experience of the divine. Salvation is not achieved through external authority, doctrine, or hierarchy, but through awakening the divine presence inside oneself. A key theme is the “sacred interbeing” of all existence: all life exists “in and with each other,” reflecting a holistic, relational cosmos where divinity permeates everything. The text shows that in the earliest years of Jesus-followership, Mary Magdalene was regarded as a spiritual authority who embodied intuitive, experiential wisdom rather than institutional power. Excluding her teachings, and, later, even speculating she was a prostitute, reflects the wider pattern of religious institutions suppressing mystical experience and female authority in favour of male-dominated hierarchies.  

I was so pleased to read about her ideas that I wrote and performed the Mariam Mantra. But in the process of discussing the teachings of Mary, and discovering the sub-cultures associated with her, I noticed that patriarchal habits are hard to kick, even amongst those who see themselves as liberating the feminine. For instance, there is a widespread sexualising of Mary Magdalene, where she is portrayed as both sensual and as relevant to us because of her intimacy with Jesus. But if we drop patriarchal assumptions that centre men in our understanding of the world, we can be open to possibilities such as whether she might have been a key teacher of Jesus, or that she might not have desired him intimately. Yes, even Christ could learn from someone; and not be sexually appealing to every woman! Such speculations are just as likely as any, once we drop patriarchal assumptions. And the fact they might jar with some people reflects the power of those assumptions. Without them, questions of whether they were intimate or married become very secondary. 

Ecofeminist ideas can also help us to imagine and inhabit healthy masculinities within the metacrisis. To begin with, men can simply respect and value women more, as well as the qualities that have been categorised in our societies as feminine. However, a healthy masculinity can be more than that. It can retain and repurpose what we culturally associate with masculinity. What is true strength? True protection? True courage? True rationality? True merit? True authority? In a culture that learns from its mistakes, all of those qualities can be reconceived and reborn for everyone, without ‘essentialising’ them as only masculine. That would be smarter than the ideas coming from traffic-hungry pundits speaking to the economically and socially disadvantaged men in late capitalist societies. I am pleased to see a few initiatives explicitly working on this opportunity (such as Starfish Collective). Many men’s support groups embody similar thinking, even if not explicitly recognising feminist critique as having contributed to the building blocks of their approaches. 

Beware the close enemies of ecofeminism

Loads of people talk about feminism and women’s leadership in relation to social and environmental problems. But that doesn’t mean they are not reproducing patriarchy and accidentally oppressing others, and aspects of themselves. Therefore, I can’t finish this essay on ecofeminism in the metacrisis without mentioning the ideas and behaviours which I have witnessed and consider to be the ‘near enemies’ of true feminism. 

First, there is the patriarchal women-washing of dominant organisations and systems. Being a female leader doesn’t necessarily involve the person behaving differently to the role as it has been defined by society before them. Instead, we all know many female executives and politicians who appear to be copies of their male predecessors, whether in terms of their rhetoric or decisions. To avoid any doubt, we could label this with the rather oxymoronic term: patriarchal feminism. It is a superficial feminism, often counter productive, that does little to challenge the masculine-coded values that are considered superior in patriarchy, such as competition, forcefulness, transactionalism, reductive rationality, emotional suppression, hierarchy, and the domination of nature. Instead, it enables a select group of women to participate in wielding power within existing systems and cultures, and to strive for that power in ways that disrespect (or even damage) people in its pursuit.  

Second, and related to patriarchal feminism, is when women leaders use deep patriarchal tropes to discipline our dialogue and behaviour. Eternal optimism, for instance, can be regarded as a form of emotional suppression that then invites a level of acquiescence to power. Some of the most senior women in climate science and climate politics have, for years, exhorted us to be stubbornly optimistic. Sometimes that can involve censorship. For instance, there was a period when my XR launch speech was taken offline, due to a woman executive deciding they shouldn’t platform anything so negative. The Deep Adaptation videos only survived due to the founder Stuart H. Scott pushing back (despite being preoccupied with terminal cancer at the time). It led to a split in the organisation, and the birth of Facing Future TV. 

When critics of ‘collapsology’ imply, or directly claim, that it is harmful or morally deficient not to be optimistic, they are expressing the patriarchal trope of shame. It is true that the concept of shame exists across most, if not all, cultures, but is a particularly powerful means of social control in patriarchal societies. Therefore, a third expression of patriarchal feminism is the use of shame in public discourse. In particular, I have noticed the use of apparently feminist concerns to invite shame upon people that some women leaders disagree with. In my case, a number of senior women, with higher academic rank than myself, used my maleness and age as a basis to frame my response to inaccurate criticisms of my work and character as evidence of my patriarchal attitudes. That was at a time when the backlash against Deep Adaptation from the mainstream environmental professions, and the nuclear industry, had begun. The aim of some of the criticism was to encourage people to feel principled in hostility towards my character, and thereby dismiss the veracity of my analysis of the environmental predicament, as well as anyone who might agree. 

Once again I noticed the patriarchal preoccupation with opportunities for shaming when a newspaper missed what was rare in the story of my interaction with Jeffrey Epstein. I never met him in person, and he didn’t fund my work, but we had phone calls and correspondence. To make amends for the limited interaction I had with him, I spoke about it publicly in 2023. I believed the survivors deserved more attention to his crimes, and that people like me, and the people who introduced us, needed to re-assess why we didn’t take these issues more seriously in the past. It was the launch of my book Breaking Together, and I explained I had learned to have less deference to power and money, and work instead at the grassroots. Nearly three years after that speech, with the release of my emails with Epstein, a local journalist reported on the matter as if I had spoken in response to forced disclosure. That meant some readers would interpret the story as being one of scandal and shame, rather than about someone having pushed for attention to the case and expressing contrition as they shared what they learned. If we can’t welcome people being open about their past limitations in not always quickly or fully standing up for what is right, then we aren’t helping a shift in culture. It would be wrong to assume that any coverage of this topic is pro-feminist. Instead, the survivors want attention to the aims and resources of the networks of power that produced the criminal behaviour by, and associated with, Epstein — and then covered it up. When coverage falls short of that, it could be part of the effort to avoid deeper accountability and change. 

On the one hand, the idea that a guy has no legitimacy or contribution to make in talking about feminist issues, including some criticism of some women’s views and actions on these issues, is prejudiced and counterproductive. On the other hand, it is also true that men like me need to accept there will always be some criticism for sharing our views on these matters, and that some of it might seem unfair and arising from unresolved trauma. I have experienced that a few times in my life, and it was painful to be subjected to anger and condemnation. My initial reaction was to try to understand better and explain myself more fully. With time, I realised that if expressing themselves from a traumatic wound, there is little opportunity for understanding. We men weren’t harmed in the same ways by patriarchy, and we benefited in so many ways (that only ignorant males refuse to see). So sometimes our best contribution is to find the strength not to react. That doesn’t mean always ‘holding space’ for, what might be, trauma-driven responses. Sometimes, it can mean not responding at all. If we have been fortunate and strategic enough to surround ourselves with wise women, then they will be better suited to respond. 

Sources of inspiration and what to support

I am grateful for the way the co-founders of Extinction Rebellion welcomed my work and invited my contribution to their early work. Over the years, I have kept in touch with the three women at the heart of its launch: Clare Farrell, Skeena Rathor and Gail Bradbrook. Each of them have continued to lead, beyond XR, in ways that reflect some of the many dimensions of women’s leadership in the metacrisis. 

Clare Farrell is convening the Humanity Project UK, which is supporting the development of grassroots ‘assembly culture’ towards an agenda for self rule. She is also director for Absurd Intelligence, which she describes as “a thinktank for the shit show”. More recently, Clare has been seeking out the wisdom of those who specialise in spiritual life, to gain insight on “strategies of constructive resistance whilst we hurtle into breakdown” (sharing some on her Substack). Skeena Rathor has become an ‘Elder Guardian’ of a Global Movement on Indigenous Commons. They support efforts at repairing and restoring the world’s water flows, from rivers to oceans and atmospheric processes, which also include large forests. She also focuses on ways that capital flows can be redirected to repair life on Earth. Gail Bradbrook has been developing the model for community resilience in the context of system breakdown, and trialling it in her hometown of Stroud, with the moniker ‘lifehouse’. While continuing to regard reductions in carbon emissions as important, each of them has moved beyond that to work on community resilience and regeneration. Their practical and collaborative responses to “the shit show” echo the leadership in the new “women in the storm” film.

Want to discuss this?

In the next salon of the Metacrisis Initiative we will discuss women’s leadership and ecofeminism in the metacrisis. Skeena Rathor will join us. If you are a member of the initiative, look out for registration information in your inbox in a few days. Meanwhile, as members, you can share your reflections in our community chat on Telegram (if you aren’t part of that, also look out for the reminder in a few days). See you there! Warmly, Jem

The Dangerous Honesty we Can No Longer Avoid – by John Foster

Guest article by John Foster, University of Lancaster, UK, and author of After Sustainability.

Note from Jem: In previous essays, I have criticized what I regard as the authoritarian sentiments and imaginations of some environmentalists. I have articulated an approach that focuses on freeing us from the manipulative and exploitative systems that accelerate environmental destruction. British Academic John Foster is one intellectual who I have debated on these topics. He penned a reply to my recent essay, and I am sharing it here to encourage dialogue about the future of environmental politics in a fracturing world. Over to John…

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There is a peculiar challenge in debating how a society should prepare for its own possible collapse. The usual rules of political argument – the cut and thrust, the simplification of an opponent’s position into a convenient label – begin to feel not just unhelpful but actively dishonest. When the stakes are this high, the window for meaningful action this narrow, and the situation so unprecedented, we owe each other something more than polemic. We need to accept that we can’t know what might work to reduce harm and give future generations of humans, and other species, a better chance. 

Continue reading “The Dangerous Honesty we Can No Longer Avoid – by John Foster” →

Mentoring in the Metacrisis -evolving coaching and mentoring in a fracturing world

“If the world is falling apart, and along with it our careers, why do we need coaches and mentors? If we dropped the idea of self-improvement we could save ourselves some time, stress and money! Isn’t it time we threw coaching, mentoring, and all that ‘leadership development’ stuff, into the bin of ‘what we did when we had a future and some budgets to play with’?”

As someone who quit being a director of a University institute working in leadership development, to become a ‘doomster’ who now experiments with farming and music, you might think I reached that type of nihilistic conclusion about professional development, and even personal development. But I didn’t. Instead, my collapse-awareness opened me up to new questions and interests, with some of that being being helped by coaches and mentors, both hired and informal. I feel like I have been ‘growing’ more since my collapse awareness. Yet there is a problem: I hear from professionals in the coaching space that collapse-awareness is still a niche view, with the mainstream behaving as if there is a future of shiny happy coaches holding hands with abundant clients. So in this essay I am sharing what I think about how coaching and mentoring can evolve during the metacrisis, and how we are approaching that in the Metacrisis Initiative.

In case you didn’t know, recent decades have seen professional coaching grow from a niche practice into a substantial global industry. Organisations such as the ICF, AC, EMCC, and EASC, have helped develop standards, competencies, and ethical frameworks to provide coaching and coaches more credibility in professional settings. Relatedly, a different stream of ‘life coaching’ has flourished in the field of personal development, often influenced by concepts that emphasise the power of intention in shaping our experience of life. Both of these strands have offered something valuable. I have seen how professional coaching has helped many of my friends in senior management, from business to the United Nations, to navigate their career and leadership challenges. I also witnessed how manifestation-oriented life coaching encouraged other friends, often self-employed, to recognise the role that mindset and attention play in shaping our experience. Receiving that latter mode of coaching in 2018 and 2019, helped me to respond to the explosion of attention to my work on the climate crisis at the time. Looking back, I think it gave me more confidence to speak from my heart and to focus on the new initiatives which I regarded as important at the time (the Deep Adaptation Forum and Extinction Rebellion). 

Despite these upsides, I have always had a nagging feeling that those coaching approaches have some fundamental limitations. That nagging feeling grew as I talked with members of the psychotherapy profession on how they respond to emotions related to climate change. In 2019, I delivered a talk at a conference of counsellors and psychotherapists (the UKCP). I discovered that many therapists were receiving many clients who expressed fear and sadness about the climate situation, and were also feeling difficult emotions themselves. They explained how they did not feel it authentic to suggest to their clients that the threats could be managed and disasters averted. Since then, there has been a lot of work done in the field of climate psychology, although its penetration into wider counselling and psychotherapy is limited, and the influence of traditional concepts seems unhelpful (as discussed in a previous essay). In the related fields of professional coaching and life coaching, I have heard of some similar disquiet, and engaged in some coach-led climate-aware initiatives that exist to evolve principles and practices. However, looking at mainstream coaching and leadership development today, I do not see that much has changed.

After looking closer at mainstream coaching practices, and the critiques that others have made, I now conclude that such practices often mobilise underlying assumptions which limit their ability to fully meet the needs of the present moment. Those assumptions include the societal context of coaching, the personal purpose of coaching, and the commercial interest of providers. In this essay, I will explore the problems with such assumptions, and how coaching and mentoring must not overlook — instead, sometimes foreground — the profound social, ecological, and existential questions that are now pressing for so many of, whatever our professional situation. Drawing on insights from critical coaching, group practices, and the need for ‘critical wisdom’, I will explain why we are offering a new kind of peer mentoring within the Metacrisis Initiative. We use the term ‘metacrisis’ to refer to how many of today’s challenges and predicaments – ecological, social, economic, and cultural – are interwoven rather than separate, often with common causes, which destabilise our identities and worldviews, sometimes leading to maladaptive responses, but which also offer the potential for personal and collective transformation. Therefore, the evolving practice that I will outline below as ‘metacritical mentoring’ is designed to help participants help each other to live meaningfully and kindly in a fracturing world.

Limitations of some mainstream coaching

Around us we see that social and political tensions are rising, ecological stresses are intensifying, so that long-standing expectations of stability or progress now seem like old fantasies. That context means many of us are not simply seeking better performance, clearer goals, or more positive energy. Increasingly, we are questioning the direction of our work and lives altogether. Even our identities. For many of us, the questions becoming more pressing are not “How can I optimise my life?” but rather “What is mine to do in a troubled world?” and “How can I remain kind and curious when times are tough and the future feels uncertain?” If the context of professional coaching is assumed to be a stable society and the potential for a viable career, the extent to which such questions can be explored in a coaching context will be limited. That’s why something new is called for… 

For 11 years as a full professor in the field of leadership development, I was interested in ‘critical leadership studies’, which enhanced my recognition of how power dynamics shape what we might consider to be positive behaviours in organisations. Such analysis is also relevant to coaching, with some practitioners describing themselves as involved in ‘critical coaching’ where the social, political, and economic forces shaping both clients’ lives and the coaching industry itself are foregrounded. Here ‘critical’ means systematically unpacking how ideas, methods, and norms in coaching are produced, legitimised, and promoted within particular power dynamics — and how they often reproduce power structures. Working from that perspective, mainstream coaching can be regarded as reinforcing neoliberal assumptions that personal success depends solely on individual effort, while ignoring structural inequalities such as gender, class, or race. One implication of such insight is to  explore how these activities can enable collective empowerment rather than only self-improvement. Another implication is to give attention to how to democratise access to coaching knowledge — a topic I will return to in a moment. 

Given the rapid changes in the world, these ideas from critical coaching are increasingly relevant. At a minimum, to stay relevant in a ‘metacrisis’, professional coaching and mentoring will need to respond to the changes in societal conditions rather than assume the relatively stable contexts in which many coaching models were originally developed. Once recognising such instability and disruption, the question of why that is happening must be part of the conversation. With that in mind, the normal emphasis on a coach’s apparent values-neutrality and client-centred orientation, could come to be regarded as avoiding a complex reality. That existing emphasis can arise from an earnest principle of not bringing a coaches’ values into the client relationship. But one can argue that is not possible, and so it is better to be transparent about values and views, and how they will be part of the coaching process, while avoiding attempts to inculcate values in a client. Clearly this issue is a delicate one to navigate well, and it might be easier, economically and psychologically, for some coaches to avoid it. Since 2021, the Global Code of Ethics on coaching and mentoring recognises the importance of any professional coach staying abreast of “societal or environmental needs,” but doesn’t require more than some attention to stakeholders’ interests when they begin a client relationship. Instead, best practice could be regarded as foregrounding values and views, within the context of a professional commitment of a coach to be curious rather than evangelising about a particular view. The experiences of some in the counselling and psychotherapy professions could be relevant here, as therapists aware of our environmental predicament have been supporting each other with their own emotional wellbeing, as well as how to navigate the tricky issue of hosting related conversations with clients (e.g. see the CPA). Professional coaches who are concerned about climate change are also grappling with these issues, including professionals within the CCA and the new Sustainability Coaching Coalition. In time, these initiatives will hopefully influence the wider field of coaching and mentoring, rather than being an interest group that is relevant to a subset of practitioners.

Some people think that the less career-focused coaching practices are more likely to help us in a changing world. In some cases, perhaps. But in my experience, manifestation-oriented life coaching encourages the people being coached to shift their attention away from difficult emotional states toward more generative energies. That can be transformative for people who have felt stuck with a preponderance of difficult emotions or self-limiting beliefs. However, if we are experiencing grief about ecological loss, anxiety about social instability, dread about inevitable future difficulties, and moral confusion about our roles within systems that appear to be breaking down, any emphasis on ‘energetic tuning’ can seem delusional — at least initially. Skillfully held, in my experience, a manifestation approach can help people without denying the severity of the situation, so that positivity need not be mutually exclusive with grief or concern. However, it is not uncommon for a life coach within this paradigm to explain their belief that there is metaphysical power involved in one having a positive outlook on one’s relationship with the world, and that the evidence of that will be in both material success and experiencing more ‘positive’ emotions. An implication of such a view is either that the wider world is not important, or, it can magically improve by focusing on one’s personal energetic tuning. Yet poverty, war, and environmental damage do not disappear by ignoring them. Neither are they definitely ameliorated by us focusing on them. Nevertheless, being curious about all that is happening in the world, and wanting to be less harmful and more useful, is widely recognised as a natural state for us humans, and we can welcome that not only according to specific values, but because it provides the possibility for collective action that might be of wider benefit. 

In future, manifestation-focused life coaching could increasingly fail to provide a deeper source of emotional resilience in challenging times. That is, unless it integrates attention to and acceptance of such difficulties in the world, and how that impinges on each of us. For those coaches who are emotionally resourced to explore that approach, perhaps even accepting we live in a time of metacrisis and collapse, then there is an important and growing role to play. My view is that insights from more contemplative and mystical understandings of the human condition are essential for such an evolution of life coaching.  

We should also recognise that most of the public will never encounter coaching directly. They are navigating tough questions in an unstable world in their communities, families, workplaces, religious institutions. Some people join initiatives such as men’s groups and joint 12-step programmes, which explicitly offer forms of peer mentoring, where we both support and gain support from fellow participants rather than trained professionals. On the one hand, the professionalisation of coaching has codified approaches, improved standards, and added safeguards, in ways that made it more possible for organisations to fund their staff to access it. On the other hand, that has aided the commodification and commercialisation of the practice in ways that may have made it more expensive and thus distant from the wider public. That presents an issue which the psychotherapy profession has already acknowledged: the wellbeing of a population depends on how societies support each other before they seek professional help. Those of us interested in the contribution of coaching and mentoring to society can therefore ask: how might we open up access while enabling the quality of what is experienced? That is why methods for ‘peer mentoring’ in society come into focus. 

The paradox of process in support groups

Over the years I have experienced, and also facilitated, group processes which seek to help participants in ways that offer some of the benefits of coaching without the limitations I’ve just described. Many of the people listed in the ‘deep adaptation guidance database’ have learned how to offer something more relevant for today. Yes, even the ones who came from manifestation life coaching traditions! One modality that Katie Carr and I dubbed ‘deep relating,’ helps us break out of habituated patterns of superficial communication. But what I’ve begun to wonder is whether a simpler-yet-comprehensive model for peer mentoring in small groups would be useful. And that is the origin of a new peer mentoring programme within the Metacrisis Initiative, for which this essay is background reading.  

I mentioned earlier that peer mentoring is a developmental relationship in which individuals regard themselves as having similar status and role to support each other’s reflection, problem-solving and deeper learning — typically through semi-structured dialogue. Also dubbed ‘co-mentoring’, it is where each participant alternately receives perspective, feedback, accountability, and emotional support, as well as offering that to others when invited to do so. In my experience of such processes, I discovered a paradox. On the one hand, participants benefit from a basic structure for how to be in a circle together — virtual or real — and from a menu of process tools to call upon when someone in the group chooses that. Otherwise, groups can repeat the patterns of superficial conversation and biased representations as we experience in normal life. However, on the other hand, an attachment to rules and the use of process tools, can displace the intention of being together and hide, or smother, the humanness of each participant. What I loved about the men’s group I was part of, is that we came together to support ourselves and each other with open hearts. When it fell apart, for me and some others, was when people wanted to ‘do the work’ with process tools, with little interest in the other men, or in being fully seen. I realised that our ‘heartfulness’ is what made the group so valuable, and it is what has drawn me to the guidance of Reverend Wright on ways to cultivate that. 

This experience also brought me to an awareness that is not just ‘critical’ of attachment to specific processes and methods, but ‘metacritical’, where all models and explanations, as well as critiques of them, can be unpacked for what they do or don’t help us to see, be, and do, rather than some being ultimate truths. This reflects a deeper understanding of the ‘criticality’ I mentioned above, which recognises that any of our concepts and models are ‘social constructions’ which can point in the direction of truth but not precisely represent such truth. As Lao Tsu wrote, millenia ago, “the truth that can be told, is not the eternal truth.” That is really important to keep in mind when considering participating in coaching or mentoring during these times, where existential questions about the nature and meaning of life are naturally arising. Unless we are metacritical in our view, we might open the door to a procession of religious leaders and alternative spiritual gurus, each asking us to uncritically accept their stories of everything seen and unseen. 

In my book Breaking Together, I explained that when our assumptions about life, society, and the future are fractured, we can feel bewildered and become vulnerable to manipulation, whether from authorities or opportunists. Therefore, I argued how important it is to cultivate our ability to continually investigate the nature of truth, without craving for emotional security or escape. I termed that ‘critical wisdom’, which involves four capabilities. Logical reasoning remains incredibly important to test any ideas we are told and reduce the various biases that are mobilised in public communication today. The ability to recognise assumptions and views embedded in the terms and symbols we experience in society, and how they enact and enforce power relations, is also essential (something termed ‘critical literacy’). Mindfulness, where we can better witness our thoughts and associated emotions, rather than be defined and driven by them, remains key to avoiding delusion. Such mindfulness can also enable our ability to allow our unconscious mind to rise into our consciousness and be assessed, which is another way of thinking about our ‘intuition’. Perhaps what we call ‘intuition,’ is also our capacity to listen to what might be communicated by the aspect of our consciousness that is connected to the universal and eternal nature of reality. The loving quality of that communication is why Reverend Wright describes it as ‘heartfulness’, and his guidance on cultivating that quality in us has been influencing my development of practices for peer mentoring.  

Metacritical Mentoring

The ideas I have explained thus far have led me to experiment with a different approach with the people who joined the Metacrisis Initiative. By naming this ‘Metacritical Mentoring’, I am pointing to the need for ‘critical wisdom’ in a metacrisis, including our constructive and open-ended questioning of concepts, methods and contexts, as we centre our aims of connection, curiosity and kindness. We are trialling the approach in small online groups composed of people who aim to live and act well within the metacrisis — to be ‘heartful’ in our responses to these times. We will draw practices from peer-to-peer coaching, co-mentoring, dialogue practices, and community learning, while avoiding some of the assumptions embedded in existing traditions, and to give space to the existential questions that arise from a recognition of metacrisis and collapse. 

Six working principles will guide the approach of Metacritical Mentoring:

First, we do not focus merely on individual self-actualisation and success, but invite each other to experience ourselves as curious and kind participants in processes of collective liberation and reconnection. 

Second, we do not assume stable and progressing contexts, but recognise that many of us think that we are living through volatile and uncertain conditions, and therefore we seek to support reflection and adaptation within that reality.

Third, we do not frame difficult emotions as obstacles to vitality. Instead, grief, fear, anger, dread, and confusion are welcomed as understandable responses to what we perceive around us, and can be sources of insight and solidarity if we help each other towards that.

Fourth, we do not restrict ourselves to specific frameworks of co-mentoring. Instead, we use them as tools which we can benefit from, while also benefitting from critiques of such tools, as part of cultivating our ‘critical wisdom’ and our foregrounding of ‘heartfulness’ in our interactions.

Fifth, we do not assume any mentor’s or facilitator’s neutrality, but recognise the assumptions, beliefs, and values, of all co-mentoring participants, are involved in the process and can be usefully explored without craving correctness or avoiding shame. 

Finally, we do not treat the capacity to support others as a scarce professional skill, but share practices and facilitation approaches so that participants can support one another and seed similar activities elsewhere. Therefore, we will continue to ask ourselves how we might bring what we benefit to others with less privilege or opportunity.

These ideas are still evolving, and the groups themselves are modest experiments rather than a finished methodology. By attempting to meet the need for forms of accompaniment on how to live meaningfully in a metacrisis, we will learn something useful as we go. 

For those of you involved in coaching and mentoring, this may be an interesting moment to ask: what kinds of conversations does our time now require, and how might our practices evolve to hold them? For more and more people? 

You are also welcome to join the Metacrisis Initiative. If you are a young professional from the Majority World, you can apply to join for free. 

<3 Jem

Reflection Exercise:

Remember a time when you received support from someone (or group) that changed your life for the better over the mid-to-long term. It might have been one conversation, or a series of conversations, or a tangible action rather than conversation. Recall the situation you were in, materially and emotionally, what the person(s) did, what was it about you and/or their input which helped it reach you, and how you changed as a result. Write down all of these aspects. Then write one sentence which summarises what it was about the person(s) and the interaction that helped you. 

PS: If you would like a definition…

The practice of peer mentoring in the metacrisis might not need a new term to describe it, especially if it doesn’t grow beyond our initial pilot this year. But just in case… 

Metacritical Mentoring is the name given to a peer mentoring approach, where non-experts both receive and offer support, to help them live more consciously and positively during the metacrisis of environmental, societal and personal circumstances. The approach deploys a deeper understanding of ‘critical thinking’ as involving the consideration of the benefits and limitations of any concepts, how they shape our attention, how they are produced by and re-produce power dynamics, while also reflexively considering how those insights also apply to any critiques. Six initial principles, published in March 2026, provide an initial philosophy, which attempt to differentiate the practice from popular forms of coaching and mentoring at the time.

In memory of Martin Caine: who brought into men’s groups his heart, humility, presence, warmth, and joy of being in the company of others, whom he saw as chosen brothers.

My thanks to Josie McLean for comments on an earlier version of this essay. As a member of the Metacrisis Initiative you can share thoughts on this essay and related ideas with us and others.

PREVIOUS WRITINGS ON PROFESSIONAL IMPLICATIONS OF COLLAPSE AWARENESS

Keeping your job at the end of the world (as we know it)

The Professional Implications of Collapse: Deep Adaptation in Organizations

Join the Metacrisis Initiative

If a member, then you can see the meetings and decide if you want to join either the salons, the peer mentoring, or both. As a member you can also discuss the issues in this essay in the community chat.

Transcending stories about spirit and matter to act from our wonder about both

“If the flesh came into being because of the spirit, it is a wonder. If the spirit came into being because of the body, it is a wonder of wonders. But I, I am amazed at how this great wealth has come to dwell in this poverty.” Saying 29 of Jesus, in The Gospel of Thomas. 

Have we modern humans poisoned and degraded our living home and brought society to collapse due to our delusion that we are separate from nature and that nature is separate from the divine? That is a view I’ve had a lot of time for. It was part of my motivation for exploring different religious ideas, as well as taking a revisionist perspective on the religion of my upbringing — Christianity. That led me to look at some of the Gnostic Gospels, over the past year. What I learned has shifted my perspective on the deeper causes of our overly destructive habits as modern humans. In this essay I’ll share my realisations through a focus on one specific saying of Jesus, according to a text called the Gospel of Thomas, which was unknown in the modern world before the 1970s. 

Continue reading “Transcending stories about spirit and matter to act from our wonder about both” →